Search Results - "McNorton, J."
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A Global Probability‐Of‐Fire (PoF) Forecast
Published in Geophysical research letters (28-06-2024)“…Accurate wildfire forecasting can inform regional management and mitigation strategies in advance of fire occurrence. Existing systems typically use fire…”
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Role of regional wetland emissions in atmospheric methane variability
Published in Geophysical research letters (16-11-2016)“…Atmospheric methane (CH4) accounts for ~20% of the total direct anthropogenic radiative forcing by long‐lived greenhouse gases. Surface observations show a…”
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Large Methane Emissions From the Pantanal During Rising Water‐Levels Revealed by Regularly Measured Lower Troposphere CH4 Profiles
Published in Global biogeochemical cycles (01-10-2021)“…The Pantanal region of Brazil is the largest seasonally flooded tropical grassland and, according to local chamber measurements, a substantial CH4 source. CH4…”
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An Urban Scheme for the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System: Single‐Column and Global Offline Application
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-06-2021)“…The societal benefits of numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts are most evident in populated areas. An urban representation within NWP models should…”
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5
The Water Balance Representation in Urban‐PLUMBER Land Surface Models
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-10-2024)“…Urban Land Surface Models (ULSMs) simulate energy and water exchanges between the urban surface and atmosphere. However, earlier systematic ULSM comparison…”
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6
An Urban Scheme for the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System: Global Forecasts and Residential CO2 Emissions
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-03-2023)“…The impact of urbanization on local weather patterns affects over half the global population. Global numerical weather prediction systems have reached a…”
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7
Attribution of recent increases in atmospheric methane through 3-D inverse modelling
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (21-12-2018)“…The atmospheric methane (CH4) growth rate has varied considerably in recent decades. Unexplained renewed growth after 2006 followed 7 years of stagnation and…”
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Systematic detection of local CH4 anomalies by combining satellite measurements with high-resolution forecasts
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (01-04-2021)“…In this study, we present a novel monitoring methodology that combines satellite retrievals and forecasts to detect local CH4 concentration anomalies…”
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9
Quantification of methane emissions from hotspots and during COVID-19 using a global atmospheric inversion
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (06-05-2022)“…Concentrations of atmospheric methane (CH4), the second most important greenhouse gas, continue to grow. In recent years this growth rate has increased further…”
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10
Role of OH variability in the stalling of the global atmospheric CH4 growth rate from 1999 to 2006
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (30-06-2016)“…The growth in atmospheric methane (CH4) concentrations over the past 2 decades has shown large variability on a timescale of several years. Prior to 1999 the…”
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Large and increasing methane emissions from eastern Amazonia derived from satellite data, 2010–2018
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (14-07-2021)“…We use a global inverse model, satellite data and flask measurements to estimate methane (CH4) emissions from South America, Brazil and the basin of the Amazon…”
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12
Large Methane Emissions From the Pantanal During Rising Water‐Levels Revealed by Regularly Measured Lower Troposphere CH 4 Profiles
Published in Global biogeochemical cycles (10-10-2021)“…Abstract The Pantanal region of Brazil is the largest seasonally flooded tropical grassland and, according to local chamber measurements, a substantial CH 4…”
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13
Large Methane Emissions From the Pantanal During Rising Water‐Levels Revealed by Regularly Measured Lower Troposphere CH 4 Profiles
Published in Global biogeochemical cycles (10-10-2021)“…Abstract The Pantanal region of Brazil is the largest seasonally flooded tropical grassland and, according to local chamber measurements, a substantial CH 4…”
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14
Exploring constraints on a wetland methane emission ensemble (WetCHARTs) using GOSAT observations
Published in Biogeosciences (23-11-2020)“…Wetland emissions contribute the largest uncertainties to the current global atmospheric CH4 budget, and how these emissions will change under future climate…”
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15
An Urban Scheme for the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System: Global Forecasts and Residential CO 2 Emissions
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-03-2023)“…Abstract The impact of urbanization on local weather patterns affects over half the global population. Global numerical weather prediction systems have reached…”
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16
Impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on the interannual variability of methane and tropospheric ozone
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (09-07-2019)“…The interannual variability of the greenhouse gases methane (CH4) and tropospheric ozone (O3) is largely driven by natural variations in global emissions and…”
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17
Evaluation of wetland CH4 in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) land surface model using satellite observations
Published in Biogeosciences (16-12-2022)“…Wetlands are the largest natural source of methane. The ability to model the emissions of methane from natural wetlands accurately is critical to our…”
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18
Global anthropogenic CO2 emissions and uncertainties as a prior for Earth system modelling and data assimilation
Published in Earth system science data (17-11-2021)“…The growth in anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions acts as a major climate change driver, which has widespread implications across society, influencing…”
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19
A global fuel characteristic model and dataset for wildfire prediction
Published in Biogeosciences (17-01-2024)“…Effective wildfire management and prevention strategies depend on accurate forecasts of fire occurrence and propagation. Fuel load and fuel moisture content…”
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Representing model uncertainty for global atmospheric CO2 flux inversions using ECMWF-IFS-46R1
Published in Geoscientific Model Development (15-05-2020)“…Atmospheric flux inversions use observations of atmospheric CO2 to provide anthropogenic and biogenic CO2 flux estimates at a range of spatio-temporal scales…”
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