Search Results - "Luo, Ruiyan"

Ensemble bootstrap methodology for forecasting dynamic growth processes using differential equations: application to epidemic outbreaks by Chowell, Gerardo, Luo, Ruiyan

“…Ensemble modeling aims to boost the forecasting performance by systematically integrating the predictive accuracy across individual models. Here we introduce a…”
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Short-term Forecasts of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Guangdong and Zhejiang, China: February 13-23, 2020 by Roosa, Kimberlyn, Lee, Yiseul, Luo, Ruiyan, Kirpich, Alexander, Rothenberg, Richard, Hyman, James M, Yan, Ping, Chowell, Gerardo

“…The ongoing COVID-19 epidemic continues to spread within and outside of China, despite several social distancing measures implemented by the Chinese…”
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Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October, 2020 by Tariq, Amna, Undurraga, Eduardo A, Laborde, Carla Castillo, Vogt-Geisse, Katia, Luo, Ruiyan, Rothenberg, Richard, Chowell, Gerardo

“…Since the detection of the first case of COVID-19 in Chile on March 3rd, 2020, a total of 513,188 cases, including ~14,302 deaths have been reported in Chile…”
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Real-time forecasting the trajectory of monkeypox outbreaks at the national and global levels, July-October 2022 by Bleichrodt, Amanda, Dahal, Sushma, Maloney, Kevin, Casanova, Lisa, Luo, Ruiyan, Chowell, Gerardo

“…Beginning May 7, 2022, multiple nations reported an unprecedented surge in monkeypox cases. Unlike past outbreaks, differences in affected populations,…”
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Geospatial Variability in Excess Death Rates during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Mexico: Examining Socio Demographic, Climate and Population Health Characteristics by Dahal, Sushma, Luo, Ruiyan, Swahn, Monica H., Chowell, Gerardo

“…This study examined how socio-demographic, climate and population health characteristics shaped the geospatial variability in excess mortality patterns during…”
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Evaluating the forecasting performance of ensemble sub-epidemic frameworks and other time series models for the 2022-2023 mpox epidemic by Bleichrodt, Amanda, Luo, Ruiyan, Kirpich, Alexander, Chowell, Gerardo

“…During the 2022-2023 unprecedented mpox epidemic, near real-time short-term forecasts of the epidemic's trajectory were essential in intervention…”
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GrowthPredict: A toolbox and tutorial-based primer for fitting and forecasting growth trajectories using phenomenological growth models by Chowell, Gerardo, Bleichrodt, Amanda, Dahal, Sushma, Tariq, Amna, Roosa, Kimberlyn, Hyman, James M., Luo, Ruiyan

“…Simple dynamic modeling tools can help generate real-time short-term forecasts with quantified uncertainty of the trajectory of diverse growth processes…”
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SpatialWavePredict: a tutorial-based primer and toolbox for forecasting growth trajectories using the ensemble spatial wave sub-epidemic modeling framework by Chowell, Gerardo, Tariq, Amna, Dahal, Sushma, Bleichrodt, Amanda, Luo, Ruiyan, Hyman, James M

“…Dynamical mathematical models defined by a system of differential equations are typically not easily accessible to non-experts. However, forecasts based on…”
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Blood transcriptomics and metabolomics for personalized medicine by Li, Shuzhao, Todor, Andrei, Luo, Ruiyan

“…Molecular analysis of blood samples is pivotal to clinical diagnosis and has been intensively investigated since the rise of systems biology. Recent…”
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Evaluating latent tuberculosis infection diagnostics using latent class analysis by Stout, Jason E, Wu, Yanjue, Ho, Christine S, Pettit, April C, Feng, Pei-Jean, Katz, Dolly J, Ghosh, Smita, Venkatappa, Thara, Luo, Ruiyan

“…Lack of a gold standard for latent TB infection has precluded direct measurement of test characteristics of the tuberculin skin test and interferon-γ release…”
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An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA by Chowell, Gerardo, Dahal, Sushma, Tariq, Amna, Roosa, Kimberlyn, Hyman, James M, Luo, Ruiyan

“…We analyze an ensemble of n -sub-epidemic modeling for forecasting the trajectory of epidemics and pandemics. These ensemble modeling approaches, and models…”
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Comparative assessment of parameter estimation methods in the presence of overdispersion: a simulation study by Roosa, Kimberlyn, Luo, Ruiyan, Chowell, Gerardo

“…The Poisson distribution is commonly assumed as the error structure for count data; however, empirical data may exhibit greater variability than expected based…”
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Investigating COVID-19 transmission and mortality differences between indigenous and non-indigenous populations in Mexico by Dahal, Sushma, Mamelund, Svenn-Erik, Luo, Ruiyan, Sattenspiel, Lisa, Self-Brown, Shannon, Chowell, Gerardo

“…•Indigenous groups had a 68% higher COVID-19 mortality rate than the non-indigenous groups.•Of 32 federal entities, 23 had a higher mortality rate among the…”
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An investigation of spatial-temporal patterns and predictions of the coronavirus 2019 pandemic in Colombia, 2020-2021 by Tariq, Amna, Chakhaia, Tsira, Dahal, Sushma, Ewing, Alexander, Hua, Xinyi, Ofori, Sylvia K, Prince, Olaseni, Salindri, Argita D, Adeniyi, Ayotomiwa Ezekiel, Banda, Juan M, Skums, Pavel, Luo, Ruiyan, Lara-Díaz, Leidy Y, Bürger, Raimund, Fung, Isaac Chun-Hai, Shim, Eunha, Kirpich, Alexander, Srivastava, Anuj, Chowell, Gerardo

“…Colombia announced the first case of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 on March 6, 2020. Since then, the country has reported a total of…”
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Investigating oral health among individuals with depression: NHANES 2015–2016 by Almohaimeed, Bayan, Dube, Shanta R., Luo, Ruiyan

“…Depression is highly prevalent across populations, yet studies on its contribution to oral health are lacking. Therefore, our goal is to examine the…”
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Transmission dynamics and forecasts of the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico, March-December 2020 by Tariq, Amna, Banda, Juan M, Skums, Pavel, Dahal, Sushma, Castillo-Garsow, Carlos, Espinoza, Baltazar, Brizuela, Noel G, Saenz, Roberto A, Kirpich, Alexander, Luo, Ruiyan, Srivastava, Anuj, Gutierrez, Humberto, Chan, Nestor Garcia, Bento, Ana I, Jimenez-Corona, Maria-Eugenia, Chowell, Gerardo

“…Mexico has experienced one of the highest COVID-19 mortality rates in the world. A delayed implementation of social distancing interventions in late March 2020…”
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Public Housing Relocations and Partnership Dynamics in Areas With High Prevalences of Sexually Transmitted Infections by Cooper, Hannah L. F., Bonney, Loida, Luo, Ruiyan, Haley, Danielle F., Linton, Sabriya, Hunter-Jones, Josalin, Ross, Zev, Wingood, Gina M., Adimora, Adaora A., Rothenberg, Richard

“…BACKGROUNDWe investigated the implications of one structural intervention—public housing relocations—for partnership dynamics among individuals living areas…”
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SubEpiPredict: A tutorial-based primer and toolbox for fitting and forecasting growth trajectories using the ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework by Chowell, Gerardo, Dahal, Sushma, Bleichrodt, Amanda, Tariq, Amna, Hyman, James M., Luo, Ruiyan

“…An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework that integrates sub-epidemics to capture complex temporal dynamics has demonstrated powerful forecasting…”
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Transmission Dynamics and Short-Term Forecasts of COVID-19: Nepal 2020/2021 by Dahal, Sushma, Luo, Ruiyan, Subedi, Raj Kumar, Dhimal, Meghnath, Chowell, Gerardo

“…Nepal was hard hit by a second wave of COVID-19 from April-May 2021. We investigated the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 at the national and provincial…”
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Stillbirth Risk during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, USA by Khare, Smriti, Dahal, Sushma, Luo, Ruiyan, Rothenberg, Richard, Mizumoto, Kenji, Chowell, Gerardo

“…The 1918 influenza pandemic, the deadliest pandemic on record, affected approximately 1/3rd of the population worldwide. The impact of this pandemic on…”
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