Search Results - "LAURET, Philippe"
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Verification of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts
Published in Solar energy (01-12-2019)“…•A framework for evaluating solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts is proposed.•The verification framework is based on visual diagnostic tools and a set of…”
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Review of solar irradiance forecasting methods and a proposition for small-scale insular grids
Published in Renewable & sustainable energy reviews (01-11-2013)“…Integration of solar energy into the electricity network is becoming essential because of its continually increasing growth in usage. An efficient use of the…”
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Comparison of intraday probabilistic forecasting of solar irradiance using only endogenous data
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-07-2018)“…Accurate solar forecasts are necessary to improve the integration of solar renewables into the energy grid. In recent years, numerous methods have been…”
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Probabilistic Solar Forecasting Using Quantile Regression Models
Published in Energies (Basel) (01-10-2017)“…A proper assessment of uncertainty estimates enables a more informed decision-making processes, which in turn, increases the value of solar power generation…”
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Probabilistic Solar Forecasts as a Binary Event Using a Sky Camera
Published in Energies (Basel) (01-10-2023)“…With the fast increase of solar energy plants, a high-quality short-term forecast is required to smoothly integrate their production in the electricity grids…”
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Comparison of Two Solar Probabilistic Forecasting Methodologies for Microgrids Energy Efficiency
Published in Energies (Basel) (01-03-2021)“…In this paper, the performances of two approaches for solar probabilistic are evaluated using a set of metrics previously tested by the meteorology…”
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Solar Forecasting in a Challenging Insular Context
Published in Atmosphere (29-01-2016)“…This paper aims at assessing the accuracy of different solar forecasting methods in the case of an insular context. Two sites of La Réunion Island, Le Tampon…”
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Solar Forecasts Based on the Clear Sky Index or the Clearness Index: Which Is Better?
Published in Solar (01-12-2022)“…In the realm of solar forecasting, it is common to use a clear sky model output to deseasonalise the solar irradiance time series needed to build the…”
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A benchmarking of machine learning techniques for solar radiation forecasting in an insular context
Published in Solar energy (01-02-2015)“…•A benchmarking of supervised machine learning methods is proposed.•For hour ahead solar forecasting, the methods slightly improve the simple models.•The…”
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Machine Learning to speed up Computational Fluid Dynamics engineering simulations for built environments: A review
Published in Building and environment (01-01-2025)“…Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is a valuable tool in designing built environments, enhancing comfort, health, energy efficiency, and safety in both indoor…”
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Modelling of diffuse solar fraction with multiple predictors
Published in Renewable energy (01-02-2010)“…For some locations both global and diffuse solar radiation are measured. However, for many locations, only global radiation is measured, or inferred from…”
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Short term solar radiation forecasting: Island versus continental sites
Published in Energy (Oxford) (15-10-2016)“…Due its intermittency, the large-scale integration of solar energy into electricity grids is an issue and more specifically in an insular context. Thus,…”
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Value of deterministic day-ahead forecasts of PV generation in PV + Storage operation for the Australian electricity market
Published in Solar energy (01-08-2021)“…•Comparison of day-ahead deterministic forecasts of solar irradiation and of production of a large-scale PV plant.•Use of Numerical Weather Predictions,…”
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Assessment of machine learning techniques for deterministic and probabilistic intra-hour solar forecasts
Published in Renewable energy (01-08-2018)“…This work compares the performance of machine learning methods (k-nearest-neighbors (kNN) and gradient boosting (GB)) in intra-hour forecasting of global (GHI)…”
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Evaluating tilted plane models for solar radiation using comprehensive testing procedures, at a southern hemisphere location
Published in Renewable energy (01-03-2013)“…This work aims at assessing the performances of four models for their relative merits in estimating diffuse solar radiation on tilted planes for a southern…”
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A new climatology reference model to benchmark probabilistic solar forecasts
Published in Solar energy (15-07-2021)“…•A new reference model for probabilistic solar forecasts called ”CSD-CLIM” is introduced.•There is no need to form probability distributions to compute its…”
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Probabilistic forecasting of the solar irradiance with recursive ARMA and GARCH models
Published in Solar energy (01-08-2016)“…•Probabilistic forecasts of global solar irradiance with an ARMA–GARCH combination using only past data.•Forecasting horizons from 10min to…”
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Post-processing of solar irradiance forecasts from WRF model at Reunion Island
Published in Solar energy (01-07-2014)“…•WRF model is used to forecast hourly global solar radiation at Reunion Island.•Kalman filtering is applied to enhance WRF forecasts.•Hourly post-processing of…”
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Modelling of occupant behaviour in non-residential mixed-mode buildings: The distinctive features of tropical climates
Published in Energy and buildings (15-03-2022)“…This paper focuses on the modelling of occupant behaviour in the case of a non-residential mixed-mode building on the tropical island of La Réunion. For such…”
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Verification of deterministic solar forecasts
Published in Solar energy (01-11-2020)“…•This review aims at standardizing the forecast verification approaches used in deterministic solar forecasting.•The distribution-oriented forecast…”
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