Search Results - "Knock, Edward S."

Key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions in the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England by Knock, Edward S, Whittles, Lilith K, Lees, John A, Perez-Guzman, Pablo N, Verity, Robert, FitzJohn, Richard G, Gaythorpe, Katy A M, Imai, Natsuko, Hinsley, Wes, Okell, Lucy C, Rosello, Alicia, Kantas, Nikolas, Walters, Caroline E, Bhatia, Sangeeta, Watson, Oliver J, Whittaker, Charlie, Cattarino, Lorenzo, Boonyasiri, Adhiratha, Djaafara, Bimandra A, Fraser, Keith, Fu, Han, Wang, Haowei, Xi, Xiaoyue, Donnelly, Christl A, Jauneikaite, Elita, Laydon, Daniel J, White, Peter J, Ghani, Azra C, Ferguson, Neil M, Cori, Anne, Baguelin, Marc

“…We fitted a model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in care homes and the community to regional surveillance data for England. Compared with other approaches, our…”
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Quantifying epidemiological drivers of gambiense human African Trypanosomiasis across the Democratic Republic of Congo by Crump, Ronald E, Huang, Ching-I, Knock, Edward S, Spencer, Simon E F, Brown, Paul E, Mwamba Miaka, Erick, Shampa, Chansy, Keeling, Matt J, Rock, Kat S

“…Gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT) is a virulent disease declining in burden but still endemic in West and Central Africa. Although it is targeted…”
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Impact of vaccinations, boosters and lockdowns on COVID-19 waves in French Polynesia by Chapman, Lloyd A. C., Aubry, Maite, Maset, Noémie, Russell, Timothy W., Knock, Edward S., Lees, John A., Mallet, Henri-Pierre, Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai, Kucharski, Adam J.

“…Estimating the impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 incidence is complicated by several factors, including successive…”
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Pandemic burden in low-income settings and impact of limited and delayed interventions: A granular modelling analysis of COVID-19 in Kabwe, Zambia by Perez-Guzman, Pablo N., Chanda, Stephen Longa, Schaap, Albertus, Shanaube, Kwame, Baguelin, Marc, Nyangu, Sarah T., Kanyanga, Muzala Kapina, Walker, Patrick, Ayles, Helen, Chilengi, Roma, Verity, Robert, Hauck, Katharina, Knock, Edward S, Cori, Anne

“…•Equitable global pandemic preparedness requires evidence from all income settings.•We conducted a first-of-a-kind detailed modelling analysis of COVID-19 in a…”
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Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine by Gaythorpe, Katy A.M., Fitzjohn, Rich G., Hinsley, Wes, Imai, Natsuko, Knock, Edward S., Perez Guzman, Pablo N., Djaafara, Bimandra, Fraser, Keith, Baguelin, Marc, Ferguson, Neil M.

“…In an emergency epidemic response, data providers supply data on a best-faith effort to modellers and analysts who are typically the end user of data collected…”
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Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination, and the SARS-CoV-2 delta variant in England: a mathematical modelling study by Sonabend, Raphael, Whittles, Lilith K, Imai, Natsuko, Perez-Guzman, Pablo N, Knock, Edward S, Rawson, Thomas, Gaythorpe, Katy A M, Djaafara, Bimandra A, Hinsley, Wes, FitzJohn, Richard G, Lees, John A, Kanapram, Divya Thekke, Volz, Erik M, Ghani, Azra C, Ferguson, Neil M, Baguelin, Marc, Cori, Anne

“…England's COVID-19 roadmap out of lockdown policy set out the timeline and conditions for the stepwise lifting of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) as…”
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The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa by Sherrard-Smith, Ellie, Hogan, Alexandra B., Hamlet, Arran, Watson, Oliver J., Whittaker, Charlie, Winskill, Peter, Ali, Fatima, Mohammad, Audu B., Uhomoibhi, Perpetua, Maikore, Ibrahim, Ogbulafor, Nnenna, Nikau, Jamilu, Kont, Mara D., Challenger, Joseph D., Verity, Robert, Lambert, Ben, Cairns, Matthew, Rao, Bhargavi, Baguelin, Marc, Whittles, Lilith K., Lees, John A., Bhatia, Sangeeta, Knock, Edward S., Okell, Lucy, Slater, Hannah C., Ghani, Azra C., Walker, Patrick G. T., Okoko, Okefu Oyale, Churcher, Thomas S.

“…The burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising 1 . In response, countries…”
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Stochastic epidemic models featuring contact tracing with delays by Ball, Frank G., Knock, Edward S., O’Neill, Philip D.

“…highlights•We model contact tracing with delays for an SEIR epidemic.•A type-reproduction number is derived in terms of unnamed individuals.•Latent periods and…”
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Quantifying the effect of delaying the second COVID-19 vaccine dose in England: a mathematical modelling study by Imai, Natsuko, Rawson, Thomas, Knock, Edward S, Sonabend, Raphael, Elmaci, Yasin, Perez-Guzman, Pablo N, Whittles, Lilith K, Kanapram, Divya Thekke, Gaythorpe, Katy A M, Hinsley, Wes, Djaafara, Bimandra A, Wang, Haowei, Fraser, Keith, FitzJohn, Richard G, Hogan, Alexandra B, Doohan, Patrick, Ghani, Azra C, Ferguson, Neil M, Baguelin, Marc, Cori, Anne

“…The UK was the first country to start national COVID-19 vaccination programmes, initially administering doses 3 weeks apart. However, early evidence of high…”
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Reproducible parallel inference and simulation of stochastic state space models using odin, dust, and mcstate by FitzJohn, Richard G., Knock, Edward S., Whittles, Lilith K., Perez-Guzman, Pablo N., Bhatia, Sangeeta, Guntoro, Fernando, Watson, Oliver J., Whittaker, Charles, Ferguson, Neil M., Cori, Anne, Baguelin, Marc, Lees, John A.

“…State space models, including compartmental models, are used to model physical, biological and social phenomena in a broad range of scientific fields. A common…”
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Bayesian model choice for epidemic models with two levels of mixing by Knock, Edward S, O'Neill, Philip D

“…This paper considers the problem of choosing between competing models for infectious disease final outcome data in a population that is partitioned into…”
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Reproducible parallel inference and simulation of stochastic state space models using odin, dust, and mcstate by Knock, Edward S, Whittles, Lilith K, Perez-Guzman, Pablo N, Bhatia, Sangeeta, Guntoro, Fernando, Watson, Oliver J, Whittaker, Charles, Ferguson, Neil M, Cori, Anne, Baguelin, Marc, FitzJohn, Richard G, Lees, John A

“…State space models, including compartmental models, are used to model physical, biological and social phenomena in a broad range of scientific fields. A common…”
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Threshold behaviour of emerging epidemics featuring contact tracing by Ball, Frank G., Knock, Edward S., O'Neill, Philip D.

“…This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which diagnosed individuals may name some of…”
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Control of emerging infectious diseases using responsive imperfect vaccination and isolation by Ball, Frank G., Knock, Edward S., O’Neill, Philip D.

“…This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible → exposed (= latent) → infective → removed) epidemic among a population…”
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The potential public health impact of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa by Sherrard-Smith, Ellie, Hogan, Alexandra B., Hamlet, Arran, Watson, Oliver J., Whittaker, Charlie, Winskill, Peter, Ali, Fatima, Mohammad, Audu B., Uhomoibhi, Perpetua, Maikore, Ibrahim, Ogbulafor, Nnenna, Nikau, Jamilu, Kont, Mara D., Challenger, Joseph D., Verity, Robert, Lambert, Ben, Cairns, Matthew, Rao, Bhargavi, Baguelin, Marc, Whittles, Lilith K., Lees, John A., Bhatia, Sangeeta, Knock, Edward S., Okell, Lucy, Slater, Hannah C., Ghani, Azra C., Walker, Patrick G.T., Okoko, Okefu Oyale, Churcher, Thomas S.

“…Malaria burden is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising. In response, countries are…”
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Interpreting estimates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine efficacy and effectiveness to inform simulation studies of vaccine impact: a systematic review by Imai, Natsuko, Hogan, Alexandra B., Williams, Lucy, Cori, Anne, Mangal, Tara D., Winskill, Peter, Whittles, Lilith K., Watson, Oliver J., Knock, Edward S., Baguelin, Marc, Perez-Guzman, Pablo N., Gaythorpe, Katy A.M., Sonabend, Raphael, Ghani, Azra C., Ferguson, Neil M.

“…Background: The multiple efficacious vaccines authorised for emergency use worldwide represent the first preventative intervention against coronavirus disease…”
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Threshold behaviour of emerging epidemics featuring contact tracing by Ball, Frank G., Knock, Edward S., O'Neill, Philip D.

“…This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which diagnosed individuals may name some of…”
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Bayesian Non-Parametric Inference for Infectious Disease Data by Knock, Edward S, Kypraios, Theodore

“…We propose a framework for Bayesian non-parametric estimation of the rate at which new infections occur assuming that the epidemic is partially observed. The…”
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Stochastic epidemic models featuring contact tracing with delays by Ball, Frank G, Knock, Edward S, O'Neill, Philip D

“…This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact…”
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