Search Results - "King, Aaron A"

Unraveling the Transmission Ecology of Polio by Martinez-Bakker, Micaela, King, Aaron A, Rohani, Pejman

“…Sustained and coordinated vaccination efforts have brought polio eradication within reach. Anticipating the eradication of wild poliovirus (WPV) and the…”
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Detecting Adaptive Evolution in Phylogenetic Comparative Analysis Using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Model by Cressler, Clayton E., Butler, Marguerite A., King, Aaron A.

“…Phylogenetic comparative analysis is an approach to inferring evolutionary process from a combination of phylogenetic and phenotypic data. The last few years…”
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Phylogenetic Comparative Analysis: A Modeling Approach for Adaptive Evolution by Butler, Marguerite A., King, Aaron A.

“…Biologists employ phylogenetic comparative methods to study adaptive evolution. However, none of the popular methods model selection directly. We explain and…”
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Inference for dynamic and latent variable models via iterated, perturbed Bayes maps by Ionides, Edward L., Nguyen, Dao, Atchadé, Yves, Stoev, Stilian, King, Aaron A.

“…Iterated filtering algorithms are stochastic optimization procedures for latent variable models that recursively combine parameter perturbations with latent…”
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Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study by He, Daihai, Ionides, Edward L., King, Aaron A.

“…methods require only simulations from a model and are thus free of such restrictions. We show the utility of the plug-and-play approach in the context of an…”
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Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity by Reich, Nicholas G., Shrestha, Sourya, King, Aaron A., Rohani, Pejman, Lessler, Justin, Kalayanarooj, Siripen, Yoon, In-Kyu, Gibbons, Robert V., Burke, Donald S., Cummings, Derek A. T.

“…Dengue, a mosquito-borne virus of humans, infects over 50 million people annually. Infection with any of the four dengue serotypes induces protective immunity…”
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Choices and trade-offs in inference with infectious disease models by Funk, Sebastian, King, Aaron A.

“…•Conducting inference with mathematical models involve a choice of model, simulation method, inference method and software implementation.•We the criteria that…”
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Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics by Romeo-Aznar, Victoria, Picinini Freitas, Laís, Gonçalves Cruz, Oswaldo, King, Aaron A., Pascual, Mercedes

“…The spread of dengue and other arboviruses constitutes an expanding global health threat. The extensive heterogeneity in population distribution and potential…”
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Natural immune boosting in pertussis dynamics and the potential for long-term vaccine failure by Lavine, Jennie S, King, Aaron A, Bjørnstad, Ottar N

“…Incidence of whooping cough, unlike many other childhood diseases for which there is an efficacious vaccine, has been increasing over the past twenty years…”
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Author Correction: Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics by Romeo-Aznar, Victoria, Picinini Freitas, Laís, Gonçalves Cruz, Oswaldo, King, Aaron A., Pascual, Mercedes

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Differential and enhanced response to climate forcing in diarrheal disease due to rotavirus across a megacity of the developing world by Martinez, Pamela P., King, Aaron A., Yunus, Mohammad, Faruque, A. S. G., Pascual, Mercedes

“…The role of climate forcing in the population dynamics of infectious diseases has typically been revealed via retrospective analyses of incidence records…”
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Statistical inference for multi-pathogen systems by Shrestha, Sourya, King, Aaron A, Rohani, Pejman

“…There is growing interest in understanding the nature and consequences of interactions among infectious agents. Pathogen interactions can be operational at…”
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Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus by Reiner, Jr, Robert C, Stoddard, Steven T, Forshey, Brett M, King, Aaron A, Ellis, Alicia M, Lloyd, Alun L, Long, Kanya C, Rocha, Claudio, Vilcarromero, Stalin, Astete, Helvio, Bazan, Isabel, Lenhart, Audrey, Vazquez-Prokopec, Gonzalo M, Paz-Soldan, Valerie A, McCall, Philip J, Kitron, Uriel, Elder, John P, Halsey, Eric S, Morrison, Amy C, Kochel, Tadeusz J, Scott, Thomas W

“…Infectious disease models play a key role in public health planning. These models rely on accurate estimates of key transmission parameters such as the force…”
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Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity by Reiner, Robert C., King, Aaron A., Emch, Michael, Yunus, Mohammad, Faruque, A. S. G., Pascual, Mercedes

“…The population dynamics of endemic cholera in urban environments—in particular interannual variation in the size and distribution of seasonal outbreaks—remain…”
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Interactions between Behavioral and Life‐History Trade‐Offs in the Evolution of Integrated Predator‐Defense Plasticity by Cressler, Clayton E., King, Aaron A., Werner, Earl E.

“…Inducible defense, which is phenotypic plasticity in traits that affect predation risk, is taxonomically widespread and has been shown to have important…”
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Immune boosting explains regime-shifts in prevaccine-era pertussis dynamics by Lavine, Jennie S, King, Aaron A, Andreasen, Viggo, Bjørnstad, Ottar N

“…Understanding the biological mechanisms underlying episodic outbreaks of infectious diseases is one of mathematical epidemiology's major goals. Historic…”
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Epidemiological evidence for herd immunity induced by acellular pertussis vaccines by Domenech de Cellès, Matthieu, Riolo, Maria A, Magpantay, Felicia M G, Rohani, Pejman, King, Aaron A

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Cholera forecast for Dhaka, Bangladesh, with the 2015-2016 El Niño: Lessons learned by Martinez, Pamela P, Reiner, Jr, Robert C, Cash, Benjamin A, Rodó, Xavier, Shahjahan Mondal, Mohammad, Roy, Manojit, Yunus, Mohammad, Faruque, A S G, Huq, Sayeeda, King, Aaron A, Pascual, Mercedes

“…A substantial body of work supports a teleconnection between the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and cholera incidence in Bangladesh. In particular, high…”
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Running for Your Life or Running for Your Dinner: What Drives Fiber‐Type Evolution in Lizard Locomotor Muscles? by Scales, Jeffrey A., King, Aaron A., Butler, Marguerite A.

“…Despite its role in whole‐animal performance, the adaptation of muscle physiology related to terrestrial locomotion remains underexplored. We tested…”
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Statistical Inference for Partially Observed Markov Processes via the R Package pomp by King, Aaron A., Nguyen, Dao, Ionides, Edward L.

“…Partially observed Markov process (POMP) models, also known as hidden Markov models or state space models, are ubiquitous tools for time series analysis. The R…”
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