Introduction of an Experimental Terrestrial Forecasting/Monitoring System at Regional to Continental Scales Based on the Terrestrial Systems Modeling Platform (v1.1.0)

Introduction of an Experimental Terrestrial Forecasting/Monitoring System at Regional to Continental Scales Based on the Terrestrial Systems Modeling Platform (v1.1.0)

Operational weather and flood forecasting has been performed successfully for decades and is of great socioeconomic importance. Up to now, forecast products focus on atmospheric variables, such as precipitation, air temperature and, in hydrology, on river discharge. Considering the full terrestrial...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Water (Basel) Vol. 10; no. 11; p. 1697
Main Authors: Kollet, Stefan, Gasper, Fabian, Brdar, Slavko, Goergen, Klaus, Hendricks-Franssen, Harrie-Jan, Keune, Jessica, Kurtz, Wolfgang, Küll, Volker, Pappenberger, Florian, Poll, Stefan, Trömel, Silke, Shrestha, Prabhakar, Simmer, Clemens, Sulis, Mauro
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Basel MDPI AG 01-11-2018
Subjects:
Air temperature
Atmosphere
Automation
Boundary conditions
Data assimilation
Domains
Drought
Energy
Flood forecasting
Freshwater resources
Groundwater
Groundwater availability
Groundwater levels
Groundwater recharge
Groundwater storage
Hydrology
Moisture content
Monitoring
Monitoring systems
Precipitation
Real time
real-time forecasting/monitoring
River discharge
River flow
Simulation
Socioeconomic factors
Software
Soil water
Soil water storage
Systems modelling
Terrestrial environments
terrestrial modeling
Water depth
Water shortages
Water table
Water, Underground
Weather
Weather forecasting
Workflow
workflows
Germany
United States > US
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Description
Summary:Operational weather and flood forecasting has been performed successfully for decades and is of great socioeconomic importance. Up to now, forecast products focus on atmospheric variables, such as precipitation, air temperature and, in hydrology, on river discharge. Considering the full terrestrial system from groundwater across the land surface into the atmosphere, a number of important hydrologic variables are missing especially with regard to the shallow and deeper subsurface (e.g., groundwater), which are gaining considerable attention in the context of global change. In this study, we propose a terrestrial monitoring/forecasting system using the Terrestrial Systems Modeling Platform (TSMP) that predicts all essential states and fluxes of the terrestrial hydrologic and energy cycles from groundwater into the atmosphere. Closure of the terrestrial cycles provides a physically consistent picture of the terrestrial system in TSMP. TSMP has been implemented over a regional domain over North Rhine-Westphalia and a continental domain over Europe in a real-time forecast/monitoring workflow. Applying a real-time forecasting/monitoring workflow over both domains, experimental forecasts are being produced with different lead times since the beginning of 2016. Real-time forecast/monitoring products encompass all compartments of the terrestrial system including additional hydrologic variables, such as plant available soil water, groundwater table depth, and groundwater recharge and storage.
ISSN:2073-4441
2073-4441
DOI:10.3390/w10111697