Search Results - "Jessica T. Davis"
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The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (24-04-2020)“…Motivated by the rapid spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in mainland China, we use a global metapopulation disease transmission model to project…”
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Anatomy of the first six months of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Italy
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-05-2022)“…We analyze the effectiveness of the first six months of vaccination campaign against SARS-CoV-2 in Italy by using a computational epidemic model which takes…”
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3
Assessing the spread of COVID-19 in Brazil: Mobility, morbidity and social vulnerability
Published in PloS one (18-09-2020)“…Brazil detected community transmission of COVID-19 on March 13, 2020. In this study we identified which areas in the country were the most vulnerable for…”
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4
Estimating the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in the United States using influenza surveillance, virologic testing, and mortality data: Four complementary approaches
Published in PLoS computational biology (17-06-2021)“…Effectively designing and evaluating public health responses to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic requires accurate estimation of the prevalence of COVID-19 across…”
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A multiscale modeling framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the US
Published in Epidemics (01-06-2024)“…The Scenario Modeling Hub (SMH) initiative provides projections of potential epidemic scenarios in the United States (US) by using a multi-model approach. Our…”
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Ensemble2: Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis
Published in Epidemics (01-03-2024)“…Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, scenario modeling played a crucial role in shaping the decision-making process of public health policies. Unlike forecasts,…”
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Phase transitions in information spreading on structured populations
Published in Nature physics (01-05-2020)“…Mathematical models of social contagion that incorporate networks of human interactions have become increasingly popular, however, very few approaches have…”
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Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave
Published in Nature (London) (02-12-2021)“…Considerable uncertainty surrounds the timeline of introductions and onsets of local transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2…”
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Multimodeling approach to evaluating the efficacy of layering pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions for influenza pandemics
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (11-07-2023)“…When an influenza pandemic emerges, temporary school closures and antiviral treatment may slow virus spread, reduce the overall disease burden, and provide…”
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Ensemble 2 : Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis
Published in Epidemics (01-03-2024)“…Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, scenario modeling played a crucial role in shaping the decision-making process of public health policies. Unlike forecasts,…”
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11
Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: a multi-model study
Published in Lancet Regional Health - Americas (Online) (01-01-2023)“…The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub convened nine modeling teams to project the impact of expanding SARS-CoV-2 vaccination to children aged 5–11 years on…”
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From Rumors to Pandemics: Leveraging Networked Structured Populations to Model the Dynamics of Contagion Processes
Published 01-01-2021“…Computational models of contagion processes in complex systems have a rich history that incorporates the diverse, cross-disciplinary work of social scientists,…”
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Dissertation -
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Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: a multi-model studyResearch in context
Published in Lancet Regional Health - Americas (Online) (01-01-2023)“…Background: The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub convened nine modeling teams to project the impact of expanding SARS-CoV-2 vaccination to children aged 5–11…”
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Journal Article -
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Assessing the spread of COVID-19 in Brazil: Mobility, morbidity and social vulnerability
Published in PloS one (01-01-2020)“…Brazil detected community transmission of COVID-19 on March 13, 2020. In this study we identified which areas in the country were the most vulnerable for…”
Get full text
Journal Article -
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A machine learning methodology for real-time forecasting of the 2019-2020 COVID-19 outbreak using Internet searches, news alerts, and estimates from mechanistic models
Published 08-04-2020“…We present a timely and novel methodology that combines disease estimates from mechanistic models with digital traces, via interpretable machine-learning…”
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Journal Article