Search Results - "Jagger, T. H."

Visibility network of United States hurricanes by Elsner, J. B., Jagger, T. H., Fogarty, E. A.

“…The authors demonstrate how to construct a network from a time series of U.S. hurricane counts and show how it can be used to identify unusual years in the…”
Get full text

The combined risk of extreme tropical cyclone winds and storm surges along the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast by Trepanier, J. C., Yuan, J., Jagger, T. H.

“…Tropical cyclones, with their nearshore high wind speeds and deep storm surges, frequently strike the United States Gulf of Mexico coastline influencing…”
Get full text

United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle by Elsner, J. B., Jagger, T. H.

“…The authors report on a finding that annual U.S hurricane counts are significantly related to solar activity. The relationship results from fewer intense…”
Get full text

Daily tropical cyclone intensity response to solar ultraviolet radiation by Elsner, J. B., Jagger, T. H., Hodges, R. E.

“…An inverse relationship between hurricane activity over the Caribbean and the number of sunspots has recently been identified. Here we investigate this…”
Get full text

Daily tornado frequency distributions in the United States by Elsner, J B, Jagger, T H, Widen, H M, Chavas, D R

“…The authors examine daily tornado counts in the United States over the period 1994-2012 and find strong evidence for a power-law relationship in the…”
Get full text

Empirical estimates of kinetic energy from some recent U.S. tornadoes by Fricker, T., Elsner, J. B., Camp, P., Jagger, T. H.

“…Data from some recent tornado damage assessments are used to compute the percentage of damage path area by enhanced Fujita (EF) rating and to estimate kinetic…”
Get full text

Sensitivity of limiting hurricane intensity to ocean warmth by Elsner, J. B., Trepanier, J. C., Strazzo, S. E., Jagger, T. H.

“…The strongest hurricanes are getting stronger as the oceans heat up especially over the North Atlantic. Sensitivity of hurricane intensity to ocean heating is…”
Get full text

Forecasting U.S. hurricanes 6 months in advance by Elsner, J. B., Murnane, R. J., Jagger, T. H.

“…Katrina is a grim reminder of the serious social and economic threat that hurricanes pose to the United States. Recent advances in hurricane climate science…”
Get full text

Toward increased utilization of historical hurricane chronologies by Scheitlin, K. N., Elsner, James B., Malmstadt, J. C., Hodges, R. E., Jagger, T. H.

“…The record of past tropical cyclones provides an important means to evaluate the hurricane hazard. Historical chronologies are a source of information about…”
Get full text

Estimated return periods for Hurricane Katrina by Elsner, J. B., Jagger, T. H., Tsonis, A. A.

“…Hurricane Katrina is one of the most destructive natural disaster in U.S. history. The infrequency of severe coastal hurricanes implies that empirical…”
Get full text

Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO by Tsonis, A. A., Elsner, J. B., Hunt, A. G., Jagger, T. H.

“…An analysis of global temperature and ENSO data indicates that their relationship is more complicated than currently thought. Indeed, it appears that there are…”
Get full text

Climatology Models for Extreme Hurricane Winds near the United States by Jagger, Thomas H., Elsner, James B.

“…The rarity of severe coastal hurricanes implies that empirical estimates of extreme wind speed return levels will be unreliable. Here climatology models…”
Get full text

Prediction Models for Annual U.S. Hurricane Counts by Elsner, James B., Jagger, Thomas H.

“…The authors build on their efforts to understand and predict coastal hurricane activity by developing statistical seasonal forecast models that can be used…”
Get full text

A space–time statistical climate model for hurricane intensification in the North Atlantic basin by Fraza, Erik, Elsner, James B., Jagger, Thomas H.

“…Climate influences on hurricane intensification are investigated by averaging hourly intensification rates over the period 1975–2014 in 8° × 8°…”
Get full text

A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Seasonal Hurricane Modeling by Elsner, James B., Jagger, Thomas H.

“…A hierarchical Bayesian strategy for modeling annual U.S. hurricane counts from the period 1851–2000 is illustrated. The approach is based on a separation of…”
Get full text

Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO by TSONIS, A. A, ELSNER, J. B, HUNT, A. G, JAGGER, T. H

Get full text

Comparison of Hurricane Return Levels Using Historical and Geological Records by Elsner, James B., Jagger, Thomas H., Liu, Kam-biu

“…Hurricane return levels estimated using historical and geological information are quantitatively compared for Lake Shelby, Alabama. The minimum return level of…”
Get full text

Detecting Shifts in Hurricane Rates Using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach by Elsner, James B., Niu, Xufeng, Jagger, Thomas H.

“…Time series of annual hurricane counts are examined using a changepoint analysis. The approach simulates posterior distributions of the Poisson-rate parameter…”
Get full text

Improving Multiseason Forecasts of North Atlantic Hurricane Activity by Elsner, James B., Jagger, Thomas H., Dickinson, Michael, Rowe, Dail

“…Hurricanes cause drastic social problems as well as generate huge economic losses. A reliable forecast of the level of hurricane activity covering the next…”
Get full text

A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Seasonal Hurricane Modeling by Elsner, J B, Jagger, TH

“…A hierarchical Bayesian strategy for modeling annual U.S. hurricane counts from the period 1851-2000 is illustrated. The approach is based on a separation of…”
Get full text