Search Results - "Infectious disease modelling"

To mask or not to mask: Modeling the potential for face mask use by the general public to curtail the COVID-19 pandemic by Eikenberry, Steffen E., Mancuso, Marina, Iboi, Enahoro, Phan, Tin, Eikenberry, Keenan, Kuang, Yang, Kostelich, Eric, Gumel, Abba B.

“…Face mask use by the general public for limiting the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic is controversial, though increasingly recommended, and the potential of…”
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An updated estimation of the risk of transmission of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) by Tang, Biao, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi, Li, Qian, Tang, Sanyi, Xiao, Yanni, Wu, Jianhong

“…The basic reproduction number of an infectious agent is the average number of infections one case can generate over the course of the infectious period, in a…”
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Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020 by Roosa, K., Lee, Y., Luo, R., Kirpich, A., Rothenberg, R., Hyman, J.M., Yan, P., Chowell, G.

“…The initial cluster of severe pneumonia cases that triggered the COVID-19 epidemic was identified in Wuhan, China in December 2019. While early cases of the…”
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Why is it difficult to accurately predict the COVID-19 epidemic? by Roda, Weston C., Varughese, Marie B., Han, Donglin, Li, Michael Y.

“…Since the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan City in December of 2019, numerous model predictions on the COVID-19 epidemics in Wuhan and other parts of China have been…”
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Transmission potential of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) onboard the diamond Princess Cruises Ship, 2020 by Mizumoto, Kenji, Chowell, Gerardo

“…An outbreak of COVID-19 developed aboard the Princess Cruises Ship during January–February 2020. Using mathematical modeling and time-series incidence data…”
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Reproduction numbers of infectious disease models by van den Driessche, Pauline

“…This primer article focuses on the basic reproduction number, ℛ0, for infectious diseases, and other reproduction numbers related to ℛ0 that are useful in…”
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A primer on model selection using the Akaike Information Criterion by Portet, Stéphanie

“…A powerful investigative tool in biology is to consider not a single mathematical model but a collection of models designed to explore different working…”
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Estimating epidemic exponential growth rate and basic reproduction number by Ma, Junling

“…The initial exponential growth rate of an epidemic is an important measure of the severeness of the epidemic, and is also closely related to the basic…”
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Propagation analysis and prediction of the COVID-19 by Li, Lixiang, Yang, Zihang, Dang, Zhongkai, Meng, Cui, Huang, Jingze, Meng, Haotian, Wang, Deyu, Chen, Guanhua, Zhang, Jiaxuan, Peng, Haipeng, Shao, Yiming

“…Based on the official data modeling, this paper studies the transmission process of the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The error between the model and…”
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A COVID-19 epidemic model with latency period by Liu, Z., Magal, P., Seydi, O., Webb, G.

“…At the beginning of a COVID-19 infection, there is a period of time known as the exposed or latency period, before an infected person is capable of…”
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COVID-19 epidemic prediction and the impact of public health interventions: A review of COVID-19 epidemic models by Xiang, Yue, Jia, Yonghong, Chen, Linlin, Guo, Lei, Shu, Bizhen, Long, Enshen

“…The coronavirus disease outbreak of 2019 (COVID-19) has been spreading rapidly to all corners of the word, in a very complex manner. A key research focus is in…”
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Mathematical epidemiology: Past, present, and future by Brauer, Fred

“…We give a brief outline of some of the important aspects of the development of mathematical epidemiology…”
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Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts by Chowell, Gerardo

“…Mathematical models provide a quantitative framework with which scientists can assess hypotheses on the potential underlying mechanisms that explain patterns…”
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A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis by Allen, Linda J.S.

“…Some mathematical methods for formulation and numerical simulation of stochastic epidemic models are presented. Specifically, models are formulated for…”
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Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 epidemic with effect of awareness programs by Musa, Salihu Sabiu, Qureshi, Sania, Zhao, Shi, Yusuf, Abdullahi, Mustapha, Umar Tasiu, He, Daihai

“…Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) is a novel virus that emerged in China in late 2019 and caused a pandemic of coronavirus disease…”
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A primer on using mathematics to understand COVID-19 dynamics: Modeling, analysis and simulations by Gumel, Abba B., Iboi, Enahoro A., Ngonghala, Calistus N., Elbasha, Elamin H.

“…The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic that emerged from Wuhan city in December 2019 overwhelmed health systems and paralyzed economies around the world. It…”
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Will an imperfect vaccine curtail the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S.? by Iboi, Enahoro A., Ngonghala, Calistus N., Gumel, Abba B.

“…The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) that emerged from Wuhan city of China in late December 2019 continue to pose devastating public health and economic challenges…”
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A simple model for COVID-19 by Arino, Julien, Portet, Stéphanie

“…An SL1L2I1I2A1A2R epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times…”
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On the reliability of predictions on Covid-19 dynamics: A systematic and critical review of modelling techniques by Gnanvi, Janyce Eunice, Salako, Kolawolé Valère, Kotanmi, Gaëtan Brezesky, Glèlè Kakaï, Romain

“…Since the emergence of the novel 2019 coronavirus pandemic in December 2019 (COVID-19), numerous modellers have used diverse techniques to assess the dynamics…”
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Feature importance: Opening a soil-transmitted helminth machine learning model via SHAP by Scavuzzo, Carlos Matias, Scavuzzo, Juan Manuel, Campero, Micaela Natalia, Anegagrie, Melaku, Aramendia, Aranzazu Amor, Benito, Agustín, Periago, Victoria

“…In the field of landscape epidemiology, the contribution of machine learning (ML) to modeling of epidemiological risk scenarios presents itself as a good…”
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