An immuno-epidemiological model for transient immune protection: A case study for viral respiratory infections

The dynamics of infectious disease in a population critically involves both within-host pathogen replication and between host pathogen transmission. While modeling efforts have recently explored how within-host dynamics contribute to shaping population transmission, fewer have explored how ongoing c...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Infectious disease modelling Vol. 8; no. 3; pp. 855 - 864
Main Authors: Hoyer-Leitzel, A., Iams, S.M., Haslam-Hyde, A.J., Zeeman, M.L., Fefferman, N.H.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: China Elsevier B.V 01-09-2023
KeAi Publishing
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd
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Summary:The dynamics of infectious disease in a population critically involves both within-host pathogen replication and between host pathogen transmission. While modeling efforts have recently explored how within-host dynamics contribute to shaping population transmission, fewer have explored how ongoing circulation of an epidemic infectious disease can impact within-host immunological dynamics. We present a simple, influenza-inspired model that explores the potential for re-exposure during a single, ongoing outbreak to shape individual immune response and epidemiological potential in non-trivial ways. We show how even a simplified system can exhibit complex ongoing dynamics and sensitive thresholds in behavior. We also find epidemiological stochasticity likely plays a critical role in reinfection or in the maintenance of individual immunological protection over time.
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ISSN:2468-0427
2468-2152
2468-0427
DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2023.07.004