Search Results - "Hurford, Amy"
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Mechanistic movement models to understand epidemic spread
Published in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B. Biological sciences (05-05-2017)“…An overlooked aspect of disease ecology is considering how and why animals come into contact with one and other resulting in disease transmission. Mathematical…”
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2
Downsizing of COVID-19 contact tracing in highly immune populations
Published in PloS one (10-06-2022)“…Contact tracing is a key component of successful management of COVID-19. Contacts of infected individuals are asked to quarantine, which can significantly slow…”
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3
Is SARS-CoV-2 elimination or mitigation best? Regional and disease characteristics determine the recommended strategy
Published in Royal Society open science (01-06-2024)“…Public health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic varied across the world. Some countries (e.g. mainland China, New Zealand and Taiwan) implemented elimination…”
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Modelling the impact of travel restrictions on COVID-19 cases in Newfoundland and Labrador
Published in Royal Society open science (16-06-2021)“…In many jurisdictions, public health authorities have implemented travel restrictions to reduce coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread. Policies that…”
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5
Rotational worker vaccination provides indirect protection to vulnerable groups in regions with low COVID-19 prevalence
Published in AIMS mathematics (2022)“…As COVID-19 vaccines become available, different model-based approaches have been developed to evaluate strategic priorities for vaccine allocation to reduce…”
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Benefits and unintended consequences of antimicrobial de-escalation: Implications for stewardship programs
Published in PloS one (09-02-2017)“…Sequential antimicrobial de-escalation aims to minimize resistance to high-value broad-spectrum empiric antimicrobials by switching to alternative drugs when…”
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7
Dynamics and persistence of rabies in the Arctic
Published in Polar research (05-06-2019)“…Rabies is a major issue for human and animal health in the Arctic, yet little is known about its epidemiology. In particular, there is an ongoing debate…”
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A Model For Sea Lice ( Lepeophtheirus salmonis ) Dynamics In A Seasonally Changing Environment
Published in Epidemics (01-09-2016)“…Highlights • We incorporate temperature and salinity into a model of sea lice development. • We show different annual reproductive peaks between British…”
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Determinants of the Final Size and Case Rate of Nosocomial Outbreaks
Published in PloS one (15-09-2015)“…Different nosocomial pathogen species have varying infectivity and durations of infectiousness, while the transmission route determines the contact rate…”
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10
GPS measurement error gives rise to spurious 180 degree turning angles and strong directional biases in animal movement data
Published in PloS one (20-05-2009)“…Movement data are frequently collected using Global Positioning System (GPS) receivers, but recorded GPS locations are subject to errors. While past studies…”
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GPS Measurement Error Gives Rise to Spurious 180° Turning Angles and Strong Directional Biases in Animal Movement Data
Published in PloS one (20-05-2009)“…Background Movement data are frequently collected using Global Positioning System (GPS) receivers, but recorded GPS locations are subject to errors. While past…”
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Parasite‐induced shifts in host movement may explain the transient coexistence of high‐ and low‐pathogenic disease strains
Published in Journal of evolutionary biology (01-08-2022)“…Many parasites induce decreased host movement, known as lethargy, which can impact disease spread and the evolution of virulence. Mathematical models have…”
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13
IMMUNE EVASION AND THE EVOLUTION OF MOLECULAR MIMICRY IN PARASITES
Published in Evolution (01-10-2013)“…Parasites that are molecular mimics express proteins which resemble host proteins. This resemblance facilitates immune evasion because the immune molecules…”
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14
Mechanistic movement models to understand epidemic spread
Published in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B. Biological sciences (05-05-2017)“…An overlooked aspect of disease ecology is considering how and why animals come into contact with one and other resulting in disease transmission. Mathematical…”
Get full text
Journal Article -
15
Regional climate affects salmon lice dynamics, stage structure and management
Published in Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences (12-06-2019)“…Regional variation in climate can generate differences in population dynamics and stage structure. Where regional differences exist, the best approach to pest…”
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16
Next-generation tools for evolutionary invasion analyses
Published in Journal of the Royal Society interface (06-04-2010)“…Evolutionary invasion analysis is a powerful technique for modelling in evolutionary biology. The general approach is to derive an expression for the growth…”
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17
Understanding Rabies Persistence in Low-Density Fox Populations
Published in Écoscience (Sainte-Foy) (02-10-2021)“…Arctic fox (Vulpes lagopus) and its tundra habitat are a unique system for the study of rabies virus epidemics. Contrary to theoretical calculations reporting…”
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18
Regional climate affects salmon lice dynamics, stage structure and management
Published in Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences (12-06-2019)“…Regional variation in climate can generate differences in population dynamics and stage structure. Where regional differences exist, the best approach to pest…”
Get full text
Journal Article -
19
Species distribution model identifies influence of climatic constraints on severe defoliation at the leading edge of a native insect outbreak
Published in Forest ecology and management (15-09-2023)“…•We use a novel model to predict the drivers of severe spruce budworm defoliation.•We conduct our study at the leading edge of the outbreak, Newfoundland,…”
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20
Skewed temperature dependence affects range and abundance in a warming world
Published in Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences (31-07-2019)“…Population growth metrics such as R₀ are usually asymmetric functions of temperature, with cold-skewed curves arising when the positive effects of a…”
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