Search Results - "Harris, Adam J.L."
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On the Origin of Utility, Weighting, and Discounting Functions: How They Get Their Shapes and How to Change Their Shapes
Published in Management science (01-03-2015)“…We present a theoretical account of the origin of the shapes of utility, probability weighting, and temporal discounting functions. In an experimental test of…”
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Influence of psychological factors in food risk assessment – A review
Published in Trends in food science & technology (01-09-2020)“…Typically, food-related risk assessments are carried out within a four step, technical framework, as detailed by the Codex Alimentarius Commission (World…”
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Understanding ‘Unlikely (20% Likelihood)’ or ‘20% Likelihood (Unlikely)’ Outcomes: The Robustness of the Extremity Effect
Published in Journal of behavioral decision making (01-10-2018)“…Calls to communicate uncertainty using mixed, verbal‐numerical formats (‘unlikely [0–33%]’) have stemmed from research comparing mixed with solely verbal…”
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Robust, domain‐specific effects of prior context in risk preferences for pension choice
Published in Journal of behavioral decision making (01-12-2018)“…Evidence that context changes measured risk preferences raises concerns about the practice of measuring financial risk attitude in one context to guide…”
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Estimating the probability of negative events
Published in Cognition (2009)“…How well we are attuned to the statistics of our environment is a fundamental question in understanding human behaviour. It seems particularly important to be…”
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Fingermark submission decision-making within a UK fingerprint laboratory: Do experts get the marks that they need?
Published in Science & justice (01-07-2015)“…Abstract Within UK policing it is routinely the responsibility of fingerprint laboratory practitioners to chemically develop areas of latent fingerprint ridge…”
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No evidence for nudging after adjusting for publication bias
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (02-08-2022)Get full text
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Subjective Probability Increases Across Communication Chains: Introducing the Probability Escalation Effect
Published in Cognition (01-11-2024)“…A severity effect has previously been documented, whereby numerical translations of verbal probability expressions are higher for severe outcomes than for…”
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Argument Content and Argument Source: An Exploration
Published in Informal logic (17-12-2009)“…Argumentation is pervasive in everyday life. Understanding what makes a strong argument is therefore of both theoretical and practical interest. One factor…”
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Optimism where there is none: Asymmetric belief updating observed with valence-neutral life events
Published in Cognition (01-01-2022)“…How people update their beliefs when faced with new information is integral to everyday life. A sizeable body of literature suggests that people's belief…”
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A pessimistic view of optimistic belief updating
Published in Cognitive psychology (01-11-2016)“…•It has been claimed that unrealistic optimism is a result of biased belief updating.•Our simulations show that the methodology supporting this claim is…”
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Plausibility matters: A challenge to Gilbert's “Spinozan” account of belief formation
Published in Cognition (01-03-2022)“…Most of the claims we encounter in real life can be assigned some degree of plausibility, even if they are new to us. On Gilbert's (1991) influential account…”
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What drives risk perceptions? Revisiting public perceptions of food hazards associated with production and consumption
Published in Journal of risk research (02-11-2021)“…As food technology continues to advance, the potential for new food products to enter the food market grows, attracting considerable media interest. Whilst…”
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Unrealistic Optimism About Future Life Events: A Cautionary Note
Published in Psychological review (01-01-2011)“…A robust finding in social psychology is that people judge negative events as less likely to happen to themselves than to the average person, a behavior…”
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The Average Laboratory Samples a Population of 7,300 Amazon Mechanical Turk Workers
Published in Judgment and Decision Making (01-09-2015)“…Abstract Using capture-recapture analysis we estimate the effective size of the active Amazon Mechanical Turk (MTurk) population that a typical laboratory can…”
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The Appeal to Expert Opinion: Quantitative Support for a Bayesian Network Approach
Published in Cognitive science (01-08-2016)“…The appeal to expert opinion is an argument form that uses the verdict of an expert to support a position or hypothesis. A previous scheme‐based treatment of…”
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Investigating (sequential) unit asking: An unsuccessful quest for scope sensitivity in willingness to donate judgments
Published in Journal of behavioral decision making (01-10-2023)“…Abstract People exhibit scope insensitivity: Their expressed valuation of a problem is not proportionate with its scope or size. To address scope insensitivity…”
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Communicating Environmental Risks: Clarifying the Severity Effect in Interpretations of Verbal Probability Expressions
Published in Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition (01-11-2011)“…Verbal probability expressions are frequently used to communicate risk and uncertainty. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), for example, uses…”
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Underlying Wishes and Nudged Choices
Published in Journal of experimental psychology. Applied (01-12-2018)“…Is the inferred preference of a deceased relative to donate his or her organs stronger when the choice was made under a mandated rather than under an automatic…”
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When unlikely outcomes occur: the role of communication format in maintaining communicator credibility
Published in Journal of risk research (04-05-2019)“…The public expects science to reduce or eliminate uncertainty, yet scientific forecasts are probabilistic (at best) and it is simply not possible to make…”
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