Search Results - "Hamish Gibbs"
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Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study
Published in The Lancet infectious diseases (01-10-2020)“…The isolation of symptomatic cases and tracing of contacts has been used as an early COVID-19 containment measure in many countries, with additional physical…”
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Call detail record aggregation methodology impacts infectious disease models informed by human mobility
Published in PLoS computational biology (10-08-2023)“…This paper demonstrates how two different methods used to calculate population-level mobility from Call Detail Records (CDR) produce varying predictions of the…”
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Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts
Published in The Lancet global health (01-04-2020)“…Isolation of cases and contact tracing is used to control outbreaks of infectious diseases, and has been used for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Whether…”
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Severity of Severe Acute Respiratory System Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Alpha Variant (B.1.1.7) in England
Published in Clinical infectious diseases (24-08-2022)“…Abstract Background The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) alpha variant (B.1.1.7) is associated with higher transmissibility than…”
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Routine childhood immunisation during the COVID-19 pandemic in Africa: a benefit–risk analysis of health benefits versus excess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection
Published in The Lancet global health (01-10-2020)“…National immunisation programmes globally are at risk of suspension due to the severe health system constraints and physical distancing measures in place to…”
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Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study
Published in The Lancet. Public health (01-07-2020)“…Non-pharmaceutical interventions have been implemented to reduce transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the UK…”
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Changing travel patterns in China during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic
Published in Nature communications (06-10-2020)“…Understanding changes in human mobility in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic is crucial for assessing the impacts of travel restrictions designed to…”
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Measuring the effects of COVID-19-related disruption on dengue transmission in southeast Asia and Latin America: a statistical modelling study
Published in The Lancet infectious diseases (01-05-2022)“…The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in unprecedented disruption to society, which indirectly affects infectious disease dynamics. We aimed to assess the effects…”
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The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements
Published in BMC medicine (05-10-2020)“…Many low- and middle-income countries have implemented control measures against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, it is not clear to what extent…”
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Modelling the medium-term dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in England in the Omicron era
Published in Nature communications (19-08-2022)“…England has experienced a heavy burden of COVID-19, with multiple waves of SARS-CoV-2 transmission since early 2020 and high infection levels following the…”
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Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study
Published in BMC medicine (14-10-2020)“…The health impact of COVID-19 may differ in African settings as compared to countries in Europe or China due to demographic, epidemiological, environmental and…”
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The contribution of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections to transmission on the Diamond Princess cruise ship
Published in eLife (24-08-2020)“…A key unknown for SARS-CoV-2 is how asymptomatic infections contribute to transmission. We used a transmission model with asymptomatic and presymptomatic…”
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Detecting behavioural changes in human movement to inform the spatial scale of interventions against COVID-19
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-07-2021)“…On March 23 2020, the UK enacted an intensive, nationwide lockdown to mitigate transmission of COVID-19. As restrictions began to ease, more localized…”
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Association between household composition and severe COVID-19 outcomes in older people by ethnicity: an observational cohort study using the OpenSAFELY platform
Published in International journal of epidemiology (13-12-2022)“…Ethnic differences in the risk of severe COVID-19 may be linked to household composition. We quantified the association between household composition and risk…”
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The potential for vaccination-induced herd immunity against the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant
Published in Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles (20-05-2021)“…We assess the feasibility of reaching the herd immunity threshold against SARS-CoV-2 through vaccination, considering vaccine effectiveness (VE),…”
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The effect of travel restrictions on the geographical spread of COVID-19 between large cities in China: a modelling study
Published in BMC medicine (19-08-2020)“…To contain the spread of COVID-19, a cordon sanitaire was put in place in Wuhan prior to the Lunar New Year, on 23 January 2020. We assess the efficacy of the…”
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Comparative assessment of methods for short-term forecasts of COVID-19 hospital admissions in England at the local level
Published in BMC medicine (21-02-2022)“…Forecasting healthcare demand is essential in epidemic settings, both to inform situational awareness and facilitate resource planning. Ideally, forecasts…”
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Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation from international travellers: modelling estimations for the United Kingdom, July 2020
Published in Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles (30-09-2021)“…BackgroundTo mitigate SARS-CoV-2 transmission risks from international air travellers, many countries implemented a combination of up to 14 days of…”
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Global, regional, and national estimates of the population at increased risk of severe COVID-19 due to underlying health conditions in 2020: a modelling study
Published in The Lancet global health (01-08-2020)“…The risk of severe COVID-19 if an individual becomes infected is known to be higher in older individuals and those with underlying health conditions…”
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Estimating the impact of reopening schools on the reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 in England, using weekly contact survey data
Published in BMC medicine (10-09-2021)“…Schools were closed in England on 4 January 2021 as part of increased national restrictions to curb transmission of SARS-CoV-2. The UK government reopened…”
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