Search Results - "HAUER, Ezra"
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On the relationship between road safety research and the practice of road design and operation
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-07-2019)“…•The relationship between safety research and practice is often dysfunctional.•Twelve aspects of the dysfunction are illustrated and discussed.•Road user…”
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Even correctly specified and well-estimated regression models can mislead
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-01-2024)“…It should be possible to draw causal conclusions from happenstance data. However, there are many well-known reasons for doubting the causal interpretation of…”
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Estimating Safety by the Empirical Bayes Method: A Tutorial
Published in Transportation research record (2002)“…The empirical Bayes (EB) method addresses two problems of safety estimation: it increases the precision of estimates beyond what is possible when one is…”
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Crash causation, countermeasures, and policy – Editorial
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-06-2024)“…This editorial is both an introduction to the papers that make up this special issue (on the Relationship between Crash Causation, Countermeasures, and Policy)…”
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Crash causation and prevention
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-08-2020)“…Knowledge of crash causes is important because it directs the mind to the consideration of potential prevention actions and because knowledge of the frequency…”
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From Research to Practice – An Introduction to the Special Issue
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-09-2020)Get full text
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Engineering judgment and road safety
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-08-2019)“…•Engineering judgment is widely trusted. In road safety the trust may not be deserved.•Engineers are not trained in road safety nor learn it from their own…”
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An exemplum and its road safety morals
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-09-2016)“…•North American crash causation studies are faulty in method.•The ‘State’ produces and operates roads but their safety is largely unpremeditated.•The…”
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Cause, effect and regression in road safety: A case study
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-07-2010)“…Researchers use various ways to determine what change in safety is caused by some treatment. One way is to fit regression equations to cross-section data. Can…”
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Speed and Safety
Published in Transportation research record (2009)“…The speed at which people elect to travel is affected by vehicle and road design; by limits to speed and enforcement of those limits; by traffic control,…”
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Empirical Bayes approach to the estimation of "unsafety": the multivariate regression method
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-10-1992)“…There are two kinds of clues to the unsafety of an entity: its traits (such as traffic, geometry, age, or gender) and its historical accident record. The…”
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In defence of older drivers
Published in Canadian Medical Association journal (CMAJ) (03-04-2012)Get full text
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Computing what the public wants: Some issues in road safety cost–benefit analysis
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (2011)“…▶ The result of a cost-benefit analysis in road safety depends on the value of a statistical life and on the discount rate. ▶Estimates of the value of a…”
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Overdispersion in modelling accidents on road sections and in Empirical Bayes estimation
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-11-2001)“…In multivariate statistical models of road safety one usually finds that the accident counts are ‘overdispersed’. The extent of the overdispersion is itself…”
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Statistical Road Safety Modeling
Published in Transportation research record (2004)“…The hope is that statistical models fitted to historical data can be used to estimate the effect of road design elements on safety. Whether this can be done is…”
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On prediction in road safety
Published in Safety science (01-11-2010)“…Prediction is about potential outcomes: what will happen if and what would have happened if. The first question arises when safety targets are set, the second…”
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On prediction in road safety: SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH ON ROAD SAFETY MANAGEMENT
Published in Safety science (2010)Get full text
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Short communication: How many accidents are needed to show a difference?
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-07-2008)“…When a road safety study is contemplated one has establish how many accidents are needed to reach conclusions with a given level of confidence. Later, when the…”
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Speed and Safety: Safety Data, Analysis and Evaluation 2009. Volume 2
Published in Transportation research record (2009)Get full text
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The harm done by tests of significance
Published in Accident analysis and prevention (01-05-2004)“…Three historical episodes in which the application of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) led to the mis-interpretation of data are described. It is…”
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