Search Results - "Guikema, Seth D"
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Data‐driven predictive modeling in risk assessment: Challenges and directions for proper uncertainty representation
Published in Risk analysis (01-12-2023)“…Data‐driven predictive modeling is increasingly being used in risk assessments. While such modeling may provide improved consequence predictions and…”
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Parks and safety: a comparative study of green space access and inequity in five US cities
Published in Landscape and urban planning (01-09-2020)“…•There is a striking lack of, and inequity in access to, “safe” green space.•Future park access assessments should consider crime in their measures of…”
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Machine learning methods for empirical streamflow simulation: a comparison of model accuracy, interpretability, and uncertainty in seasonal watersheds
Published in Hydrology and earth system sciences (04-07-2016)“…In the past decade, machine learning methods for empirical rainfall–runoff modeling have seen extensive development and been proposed as a useful complement to…”
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Statistical Analysis of the Effectiveness of Seawalls and Coastal Forests in Mitigating Tsunami Impacts in Iwate and Miyagi Prefectures
Published in PloS one (10-08-2016)“…The Pacific coast of the Tohoku region of Japan experiences repeated tsunamis, with the most recent events having occurred in 1896, 1933, 1960, and 2011. These…”
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Multidecadal increase in North Atlantic coccolithophores and the potential role of rising CO2
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (18-12-2015)“…Calcifying marine organisms will generally find it harder to make and maintain their carbonate skeletons as increasing concentrations of atmospheric CO2…”
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Let the farmer decide: examining smallholder autonomy in large-scale land acquisitions with an agent-based model
Published in Environmental research letters (01-10-2021)“…Large-scale land acquisitions (LSLAs) can facilitate agricultural intensification in low- and middle-income countries, but they frequently dispossess…”
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Simulation of tropical cyclone impacts to the U.S. power system under climate change scenarios
Published in Climatic change (01-12-2014)“…The links between climate change and tropical cyclone behavior are frequently studied but still uncertain. This uncertainty makes planning for climate change a…”
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Protective impacts of household-based tuberculosis contact tracing are robust across endemic incidence levels and community contact patterns
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-02-2021)“…There is an emerging consensus that achieving global tuberculosis control targets will require more proactive case finding approaches than are currently used…”
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Land-use changes associated with large-scale land transactions in Ethiopia
Published in Ecology and society (01-12-2021)“…Large-scale land transactions (LSLTs) can precipitate dramatic changes in land systems. Ethiopia has experienced one of the largest amounts of LSLTs in Africa,…”
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Evolution of vulnerability of communities facing repeated hazards
Published in PloS one (27-09-2017)“…The decisions that individuals make when recovering from and adapting to repeated hazards affect a region's vulnerability in future hazards. As such, community…”
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Multi-Stage Prediction for Zero-Inflated Hurricane Induced Power Outages
Published in IEEE access (2018)“…Predicting hurricane power outages facilitates disaster response decision-making by electric power utilities as well as other organizations of critical…”
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Uncertainty in model predictions of Vibrio vulnificus response to climate variability and change: a Chesapeake Bay case study
Published in PloS one (29-05-2014)“…The effect that climate change and variability will have on waterborne bacteria is a topic of increasing concern for coastal ecosystems, including the…”
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13
Reframing Resilience: Equitable Access to Essential Services
Published in Risk analysis (01-08-2020)“…We urgently need to put the concept of resilience into practice if we are to prepare our communities for climate change and exacerbated natural hazards. Yet,…”
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14
Post-earthquake restoration planning for Los Angeles electric power
Published in Earthquake spectra (01-08-2006)“…This paper describes the application of a new discrete-event-simulation model of the post-earthquake electric power restoration process in Los Angeles. The…”
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Predicting Thunderstorm-Induced Power Outages to Support Utility Restoration
Published in IEEE transactions on power systems (01-11-2019)“…Strong thunderstorms have substantial impacts on power systems, posing risks and inconveniences due to power outages. Developing models predicting the outages…”
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An Agent‐Based Model of Evolving Community Flood Risk
Published in Risk analysis (01-06-2018)“…Although individual behavior plays a major role in community flood risk, traditional flood risk models generally do not capture information on how community…”
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Power outage prediction using data streams: An adaptive ensemble learning approach with a feature‐ and performance‐based weighting mechanism
Published in Risk analysis (01-03-2024)“…A wide variety of weather conditions, from windstorms to prolonged heat events, can substantially impact power systems, posing many risks and inconveniences…”
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Identifying power outage hotspots to support risk management planning
Published in Risk analysis (09-10-2024)“…Secure and reliable power systems are vital for modern societies and economies. While there is a focus in the literature on predicting power outages caused by…”
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Improving Hurricane Power Outage Prediction Models Through the Inclusion of Local Environmental Factors
Published in Risk analysis (01-12-2018)“…Tropical cyclones can significantly damage the electrical power system, so an accurate spatiotemporal forecast of outages prior to landfall can help utilities…”
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Bayesian Belief Networks for predicting drinking water distribution system pipe breaks
Published in Reliability engineering & system safety (01-10-2014)“…In this paper, we use Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs) to construct a knowledge model for pipe breaks in a water zone. To the authors’ knowledge, this is the…”
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