Search Results - "Goluke, Ulrich"
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An earth system model shows self-sustained melting of permafrost even if all man-made GHG emissions stop in 2020
Published in Scientific reports (12-11-2020)“…The risk of points-of-no-return, which, once surpassed lock the world into new dynamics, have been discussed for decades. Recently, there have been warnings…”
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Author Correction: An earth system model shows self-sustained thawing of permafrost even if all man-made GHG emissions stop in 2020
Published in Scientific reports (02-02-2021)“…An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper…”
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An earth system model shows self-sustained thawing of permafrost even if all man-made GHG emissions stop in 2020
Published in Scientific reports (12-11-2020)“…The risk of points-of-no-return, which, once surpassed lock the world into new dynamics, have been discussed for decades. Recently, there have been warnings…”
Get full text
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Achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals within 9 planetary boundaries
Published in Global sustainability (2019)“…Non-technical abstract The world agreed to achieve 17 Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. Nine planetary boundaries set an upper limit to Earth system…”
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Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 1: introduction and evaluation of global-mean temperature response
Published in Geoscientific Model Development (31-10-2020)“…Reduced-complexity climate models (RCMs) are critical in the policy and decision making space, and are directly used within multiple Intergovernmental Panel on…”
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Forecasting turning points in shipping freight rates: lessons from 30 years of practical effort
Published in System dynamics review (01-06-2007)“…We argue that it is possible to explain much of the history of the world's shipping markets since 1950 as the interaction of two balancing feedback loops: a…”
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A user-friendly earth system model of low complexity: the ESCIMO system dynamics model of global warming towards 2100
Published in Earth system dynamics (02-11-2016)“…We have made a simple system dynamics model, ESCIMO (Earth System Climate Interpretable Model), which runs on a desktop computer in seconds and is able to…”
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Plausible futures for the Norwegian offshore energy sector: Business as usual, harvest or rebuild?
Published in Energy policy (01-01-2024)“…The global energy transition from fossil to low-carbon energy challenges the future of the Norwegian petroleum sector, a major factor in the country's economy,…”
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Teaching with scenarios: a social innovation to foster learning and social change in times of great uncertainty
Published in European journal of futures research (2016)“…Learning strategies are social innovations of the past. To help us cope with problems in the past, they were developed, imitated, spread and codified into…”
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The Use of Computer Modeling in Teaching "Power Screen"
Published in Negotiation journal (01-04-1991)Get full text
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The Use of Computer Modeling in Teaching "PowerScreen"
Published in Negotiation journal (01-04-1991)Get full text
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A simulation model of drinking behaviour
Published in British journal of addiction (01-09-1981)Get more information
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