Is there association between human development index and tuberculosis mortality risk? Evidence from a spatial analysis study in the south of Brazil

The goal of this study was to analyse the spatial pattern of tuberculosis (TB) mortality using different approaches, namely: mortality rates (MR), spatial relative risks (RR) and Bayesian rates (Global and Local) and their association with human development index (HDI), Global and its three dimensio...

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Published in:Epidemiology and infection Vol. 146; no. 14; pp. 1763 - 1770
Main Authors: Santos, D T, Nunes, C, Alves, L S, Queiroz, A A R, Miranda, M J, Arroyo, L H, Yamamura, M, Belchior, A S, Popolin, M P, Arcoverde, M A M, Berra, T Z, Ramos, A C V, Pinto, I C, Palha, P F, Gabardo, B M A, Dessunti, E M, Arcêncio, R A
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: England 01-10-2018
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Summary:The goal of this study was to analyse the spatial pattern of tuberculosis (TB) mortality using different approaches, namely: mortality rates (MR), spatial relative risks (RR) and Bayesian rates (Global and Local) and their association with human development index (HDI), Global and its three dimensions: education, longevity and income. An ecological study was developed in Curitiba, Brazil based on data from Mortality Information System (2008-2014). Spatial scan statistics were used to compute RR and identify high-risk clusters. Bivariate Local Indicator of Spatial Associations was used to assess associations. MR ranged between 0 and 25.24/100.000 with a mean (standard deviation) of 1.07 (2.66). Corresponding values for spatial RR were 0-27.46, 1.2 (2.99) and for Bayesian rates (Global and Local) were 0.49-1.66, 0.90 (0.19) and 0-6.59, 0.98 (0.80). High-risk clusters were identified for all variables, except for HDI-income and Global Bayesian rate. Significant negative spatial relations were found between MR and income; between RR and HDI global, longevity and income; and Bayesian rates with all variables. Some areas presented different patterns: low social development/low risk and high risk/high development. These results demonstrate that social development variables should be considered, in mortality due TB.
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ISSN:0950-2688
1469-4409
DOI:10.1017/S0950268818001929