Search Results - "Funk, Sebastian"
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Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts
Published in The Lancet global health (01-04-2020)“…Isolation of cases and contact tracing is used to control outbreaks of infectious diseases, and has been used for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Whether…”
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Quantifying the impact of hospital catchment area definitions on hospital admissions forecasts: COVID-19 in England, September 2020-April 2021
Published in BMC medicine (17-04-2024)“…Defining healthcare facility catchment areas is a key step in predicting future healthcare demand in epidemic settings. Forecasts of hospitalisations can be…”
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Generation time of the alpha and delta SARS-CoV-2 variants: an epidemiological analysis
Published in The Lancet infectious diseases (01-05-2022)“…In May, 2021, the delta (B.1.617.2) SARS-CoV-2 variant became dominant in the UK, superseded by the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant in December, 2021. The delta…”
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Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (09-04-2021)“…A severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant, VOC 202012/01 (lineage B.1.1.7), emerged in southeast England in September 2020 and is…”
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spread of awareness and its impact on epidemic outbreaks
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (21-04-2009)“…When a disease breaks out in a human population, changes in behavior in response to the outbreak can alter the progression of the infectious agent. In…”
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Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt
Published in PLoS computational biology (10-12-2020)“…Estimation of the effective reproductive number Rt is important for detecting changes in disease transmission over time. During the Coronavirus Disease 2019…”
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What settings have been linked to SARS-CoV-2 transmission clusters?
Published in Wellcome open research (05-06-2020)“…Background : Concern about the health impact of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has resulted in widespread enforced reductions in people’s movement (“lockdowns”)…”
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Spatial and temporal dynamics of superspreading events in the 2014–2015 West Africa Ebola epidemic
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (28-02-2017)“…The unprecedented scale of the Ebola outbreak in Western Africa (2014–2015) has prompted an explosion of efforts to understand the transmission dynamics of the…”
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Scoring epidemiological forecasts on transformed scales
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-08-2023)“…Forecast evaluation is essential for the development of predictive epidemic models and can inform their use for public health decision-making. Common scores to…”
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Hospital-acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection in the UK's first COVID-19 pandemic wave
Published in The Lancet (British edition) (18-09-2021)“…Limited access to testing early in the outbreak, false negative results for nasopharyngeal swabs in early stages of disease, and presentation with…”
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Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus in Island Populations: A Modelling Analysis of the 2013-14 French Polynesia Outbreak
Published in PLoS neglected tropical diseases (17-05-2016)“…Between October 2013 and April 2014, more than 30,000 cases of Zika virus (ZIKV) disease were estimated to have attended healthcare facilities in French…”
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Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens
Published in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B. Biological sciences (08-07-2019)“…Despite continued efforts to improve health systems worldwide, emerging pathogen epidemics remain a major public health concern. Effective response to such…”
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Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China
Published in Wellcome open research (10-07-2020)“…Background: A novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has now spread to a number of countries worldwide. While sustained transmission chains of…”
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Fine-scale family structure shapes influenza transmission risk in households: Insights from primary schools in Matsumoto city, 2014/15
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-12-2019)“…Households are important settings for the transmission of seasonal influenza. Previous studies found that the per-person risk of within-household transmission…”
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Evaluating the use of social contact data to produce age-specific short-term forecasts of SARS-CoV-2 incidence in England
Published in PLoS computational biology (12-09-2023)“…Mathematical and statistical models can be used to make predictions of how epidemics may progress in the near future and form a central part of outbreak…”
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Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China
Published in Wellcome open research (2020)“…Background: A novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has now spread to a number of countries worldwide. While sustained transmission chains of…”
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The impact of local vaccine coverage and recent incidence on measles transmission in France between 2009 and 2018
Published in BMC medicine (10-03-2022)“…Subnational heterogeneity in immunity to measles can create pockets of susceptibility and result in long-lasting outbreaks despite high levels of national…”
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Comparing human and model-based forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-09-2022)“…Forecasts based on epidemiological modelling have played an important role in shaping public policy throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. This modelling combines…”
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Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (13-03-2015)“…Despite some notable successes in the control of infectious diseases, transmissible pathogens still pose an enormous threat to human and animal health. The…”
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Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study
Published in The Lancet. Public health (01-07-2020)“…Non-pharmaceutical interventions have been implemented to reduce transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the UK…”
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