Search Results - "Fowler, Hayley J."
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Global Observational Evidence of Strong Linkage Between Dew Point Temperature and Precipitation Extremes
Published in Geophysical research letters (28-11-2018)“…Using global station‐based observations of precipitation, near‐surface air temperature (SAT), and dew point temperature (DPT), we show that the negative…”
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Real‐Time Flood Forecasting Based on a High‐Performance 2‐D Hydrodynamic Model and Numerical Weather Predictions
Published in Water resources research (01-07-2020)“…A flood forecasting system commonly consists of at least two essential components, that is, a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model to provide rainfall…”
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Advances in understanding large‐scale responses of the water cycle to climate change
Published in Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (01-07-2020)“…Globally, thermodynamics explains an increase in atmospheric water vapor with warming of around 7%/°C near to the surface. In contrast, global precipitation…”
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Detection of continental-scale intensification of hourly rainfall extremes
Published in Nature climate change (01-09-2018)“…Temperature scaling studies suggest that hourly rainfall magnitudes might increase beyond thermodynamic expectations with global warming 1 – 3 ; that is, above…”
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Karakoram temperature and glacial melt driven by regional atmospheric circulation variability
Published in Nature climate change (01-09-2017)“…Identifying mechanisms driving spatially heterogeneous glacial mass-balance patterns in the Himalaya, including the ‘Karakoram anomaly’, is crucial for…”
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Quality‐control of an hourly rainfall dataset and climatology of extremes for the UK
Published in International journal of climatology (01-02-2017)“…ABSTRACT Sub‐daily rainfall extremes may be associated with flash flooding, particularly in urban areas but, compared with extremes on daily timescales, have…”
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Strong Intensification of Hourly Rainfall Extremes by Urbanization
Published in Geophysical research letters (28-07-2020)“…Although observations and modeling studies show that heavy rainfall is increasing in many regions, how changes will manifest themselves on sub‐daily timescales…”
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Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change
Published in Climatic change (01-12-2018)“…As climate change research becomes increasingly applied, the need for actionable information is growing rapidly. A key aspect of this requirement is the…”
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Anthropogenic intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes
Published in Nature reviews. Earth & environment (01-02-2021)“…Short-duration (1 to 3 hour) rainfall extremes can cause serious damage to societies through rapidly developing (flash) flooding and are determined by complex,…”
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Fewer, but More Intense, Future Tropical Storms Over the Ganges and Mekong Basins
Published in Geophysical research letters (16-09-2023)“…Understanding climate change impacts on Tropical Storm (TS) activity is crucial for effective adaptation planning and risk assessment, particularly in densely…”
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Use of radar data for characterizing extreme precipitation at fine scales and short durations
Published in Environmental research letters (01-08-2020)“…Extreme precipitation is one of the most devastating forms of atmospheric phenomenon, causing severe damage worldwide, and is likely to intensify in strength…”
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On the use of indices to study extreme precipitation on sub-daily and daily timescales
Published in Environmental research letters (06-12-2019)“…While there are obstacles to the exchange of long-term high temporal resolution precipitation data, there have been fewer barriers to the exchange of so-called…”
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DO CONVECTION-PERMITTING REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS IMPROVE PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION CHANGE?
Published in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (01-01-2017)“…Regional climate projections are used in a wide range of impact studies, from assessing future flood risk to climate change impacts on food and energy…”
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The Value of High-Resolution Met Office Regional Climate Models in the Simulation of Multihourly Precipitation Extremes
Published in Journal of climate (15-08-2014)“…Extreme value theory is used as a diagnostic for two high-resolution (12-km parameterized convection and 1.5-km explicit convection) Met Office regional…”
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Does increasing the spatial resolution of a regional climate model improve the simulated daily precipitation?
Published in Climate dynamics (01-09-2013)“…Three different resolution (50, 12, and 1.5 km) regional climate model simulations are compared in terms of their ability to simulate moderate and high daily…”
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Contrasting future lightning stories across Europe
Published in Environmental research letters (01-11-2022)“…Abstract Thunderstorms are the most common source of hazardous weather at local scales, but are poorly represented in conventional climate models, resulting in…”
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A quality-control framework for sub-daily flow and level data for hydrological modelling in Great Britain
Published in Hydrology Research (01-11-2023)“…Abstract The absence of an accessible and quality-assured national flow dataset is a limiting factor in sub-daily hydrological modelling in Great Britain. The…”
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Gauged and historical abrupt wave front floods (‘walls of water’) in Pennine rivers, northern England
Published in Journal of flood risk management (01-09-2024)“…Extremely rapid rates of rise in level and discharge in a subset of flash floods (‘abrupt wave front floods’, AWF) are separate hazards from peak level. Such…”
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Characterizing Uncertainty of the Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change
Published in Current climate change reports (01-06-2016)“…The high climate sensitivity of hydrologic systems, the importance of those systems to society, and the imprecise nature of future climate projections all…”
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Systematic increases in the thermodynamic response of hourly precipitation extremes in an idealized warming experiment with a convection-permitting climate model
Published in Environmental research letters (01-07-2019)“…Changes in sub-daily precipitation extremes potentially lead to large impacts of climate change due to their influence on soil erosion, landslides, and…”
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