Search Results - "Fonnesbeck, Christopher J."

PyMC: Bayesian Stochastic Modelling in Python by Patil, Anand, Huard, David, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J

“…This user guide describes a Python package, PyMC, that allows users to efficiently code a probabilistic model and draw samples from its posterior distribution…”
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PyMC: a modern, and comprehensive probabilistic programming framework in Python by Abril-Pla, Oriol, Andreani, Virgile, Carroll, Colin, Dong, Larry, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Kochurov, Maxim, Kumar, Ravin, Lao, Junpeng, Luhmann, Christian C, Martin, Osvaldo A, Osthege, Michael, Vieira, Ricardo, Wiecki, Thomas, Zinkov, Robert

“…PyMC is a probabilistic programming library for Python that provides tools for constructing and fitting Bayesian models. It offers an intuitive, readable…”
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Adaptive management and the value of information: learning via intervention in epidemiology by Shea, Katriona, Tildesley, Michael J, Runge, Michael C, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Ferrari, Matthew J

“…Optimal intervention for disease outbreaks is often impeded by severe scientific uncertainty. Adaptive management (AM), long-used in natural resource…”
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Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks by Probert, William J M, Jewell, Chris P, Werkman, Marleen, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Goto, Yoshitaka, Runge, Michael C, Sekiguchi, Satoshi, Shea, Katriona, Keeling, Matt J, Ferrari, Matthew J, Tildesley, Michael J

“…In the event of a new infectious disease outbreak, mathematical and simulation models are commonly used to inform policy by evaluating which control strategies…”
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Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter by Probert, William J.M, Shea, Katriona, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Runge, Michael C, Carpenter, Tim E, Dürr, Salome, Garner, M. Graeme, Harvey, Neil, Stevenson, Mark A, Webb, Colleen T, Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J, Ferrari, Matthew J

“…Abstract Formal decision-analytic methods can be used to frame disease control problems, the first step of which is to define a clear and specific objective…”
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Compliance with vessel speed restrictions to protect North Atlantic right whales by Silber, Gregory K, Adams, Jeffrey D, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J

“…Environmental regulations can only be effective if they are adhered to, but the motivations for regulatory compliance are not always clear. We assessed vessel…”
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Quantifying the Value of Perfect Information in Emergency Vaccination Campaigns by Bradbury, Naomi V, Probert, William J M, Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Keeling, Matt J, Ferrari, Matthew J, Tildesley, Michael J

“…Foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks in non-endemic countries can lead to large economic costs and livestock losses but the use of vaccination has been…”
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Estimating upper bounds for occupancy and number of manatees in areas potentially affected by oil from the Deepwater Horizon oil spill by Martin, Julien, Edwards, Holly H, Bled, Florent, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Dupuis, Jérôme A, Gardner, Beth, Koslovsky, Stacie M, Aven, Allen M, Ward-Geiger, Leslie I, Carmichael, Ruth H, Fagan, Daniel E, Ross, Monica A, Reinert, Thomas R

“…The explosion of the Deepwater Horizon drilling platform created the largest marine oil spill in U.S. history. As part of the Natural Resource Damage…”
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Combining information for monitoring at large spatial scales: First statewide abundance estimate of the Florida manatee by Martin, Julien, Edwards, Holly H., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Koslovsky, Stacie M., Harmak, Craig W., Dane, Teri M.

“…•We provide the first statewide abundance estimate for the endangered Florida manatee.•The statewide abundance estimate of manatees was 6350 (SE: 530).•70% of…”
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Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks by Li, Shou-Li, Bjørnstad, Ottar N., Ferrari, Matthew J., Mummah, Riley, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Tildesley, Michael J., Probert, William J. M., Shea, Katriona

“…Early resolution of uncertainty during an epidemic outbreak can lead to rapid and efficient decision making, provided that the uncertainty affects…”
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Multiple Introductions and Antigenic Mismatch with Vaccines May Contribute to Increased Predominance of G12P[8] Rotaviruses in the United States by Ogden, Kristen M, Tan, Yi, Akopov, Asmik, Stewart, Laura S, McHenry, Rendie, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Piya, Bhinnata, Carter, Maximilian H, Fedorova, Nadia B, Halpin, Rebecca A, Shilts, Meghan H, Edwards, Kathryn M, Payne, Daniel C, Esona, Mathew D, Mijatovic-Rustempasic, Slavica, Chappell, James D, Patton, John T, Halasa, Natasha B, Das, Suman R

“…Rotavirus is the leading global cause of diarrheal mortality for unvaccinated children under 5 years of age. The outer capsid of rotavirus virions consists of…”
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Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control: Ebola as a case study by Li, Shou-Li, Ferrari, Matthew J, Bjørnstad, Ottar N, Runge, Michael C, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Tildesley, Michael J, Pannell, David, Shea, Katriona

“…Determining how best to manage an infectious disease outbreak may be hindered by both epidemiological uncertainty (i.e. about epidemiological processes) and…”
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Estimating the probability of IQ impairment from blood phenylalanine for phenylketonuria patients: a hierarchical meta-analysis by Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., McPheeters, Melissa L., Krishnaswami, Shanthi, Lindegren, Mary Louise, Reimschisel, Tyler

“…Though the control of blood phenylalanine (Phe) levels is essential for minimizing impairment in individuals with phenylketonuria (PKU), the empirical basis…”
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Measles outbreak response decision-making under uncertainty: a retrospective analysis by Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Shea, Katriona, Carran, Spencer, Cassio de Moraes, Jose, Gregory, Christopher, Goodson, James L., Ferrari, Matthew J.

“…Resurgent outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases that have previously been controlled or eliminated have been observed in many settings. Reactive…”
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Simultaneous modeling of habitat suitability, occupancy, and relative abundance: African elephants in Zimbabwe by Martin, Julien, Chamaillé-Jammes, Simon, Nichols, James D, Fritz, Hervé, Hines, James E, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, MacKenzie, Darryl I, Bailey, Larissa L

“…The recent development of statistical models such as dynamic site occupancy models provides the opportunity to address fairly complex management and…”
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Progestogens for Preterm Birth Prevention: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis by Likis, Frances E., Edwards, Digna R. Velez, Andrews, Jeffrey C., Woodworth, Alison L., Jerome, Rebecca N., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., McKoy, J. Nikki, Hartmann, Katherine E.

“…OBJECTIVE:We systematically reviewed the effectiveness of progestogens for prevention of preterm birth among women with prior spontaneous preterm birth,…”
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Global Trends in Extracorporeal Membranous Oxygenation Use and Survival of Patients With Influenza-Associated Illness by de St Maurice, Annabelle M, Bridges, Brian C, Rycus, Peter T, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Fleming, Geoffrey M, Halasa, Natasha B

“…To determine the overall use of extracorporeal membranous oxygenation for influenza-associated illness and describe risk factors associated with mortality in…”
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Efficient Estimation Of Abundance For Patchily Distributed Populations Via Two-Phase, Adaptive Sampling by Conroy, Michael J, Runge, Jonathan P, Barker, Richard J, Schofield, Matthew R, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J

“…Many organisms are patchily distributed, with some patches occupied at high density, others at lower densities, and others not occupied. Estimation of overall…”
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A comparative effectiveness trial of postoperative management for lumbar spine surgery: changing behavior through physical therapy (CBPT) study protocol by Archer, Kristin R, Coronado, Rogelio A, Haug, Christine M, Vanston, Susan W, Devin, Clinton J, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Aaronson, Oran S, Cheng, Joseph S, Skolasky, Richard L, Riley, 3rd, Lee H, Wegener, Stephen T

“…The United States has the highest rate of lumbar spine surgery in the world, with rates increasing over 200% since 1990. Medicare spends over $1 billion…”
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Spatial modeling of riparian state dynamics in eastern Oregon, USA by using discrete event simulation by Fonnesbeck, Christopher J.

“…In order to relate the effects of small- to mid-scale riparian state dynamics to land use management goals at a broader, watershed scale, I developed a…”
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