Search Results - "Erdil, Ege"
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1
Explosive growth from AI automation: A review of the arguments
Published 20-09-2023“…We examine whether substantial AI automation could accelerate global economic growth by about an order of magnitude, akin to the economic growth effects of the…”
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2
Power Law Trends in Speedrunning and Machine Learning
Published 19-04-2023“…We find that improvements in speedrunning world records follow a power law pattern. Using this observation, we answer an outstanding question from previous…”
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3
Data movement limits to frontier model training
Published 02-11-2024“…We present a theoretical model of distributed training, and use it to analyze how far dense and sparse training runs can be scaled. Under our baseline…”
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4
Algorithmic progress in computer vision
Published 09-12-2022“…We investigate algorithmic progress in image classification on ImageNet, perhaps the most well-known test bed for computer vision. We estimate a model,…”
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5
Estimating Idea Production: A Methodological Survey
Published 16-05-2024“…Accurately modeling the production of new ideas is crucial for innovation theory and endogenous growth models. This paper provides a comprehensive…”
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6
Limits to the Energy Efficiency of CMOS Microprocessors
Published 13-12-2023“…CMOS microprocessors have achieved massive energy efficiency gains but may reach limits soon. This paper presents an approach to estimating the limits on the…”
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7
Chinchilla Scaling: A replication attempt
Published 15-04-2024“…Hoffmann et al. (2022) propose three methods for estimating a compute-optimal scaling law. We attempt to replicate their third estimation procedure, which…”
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8
Algorithmic progress in language models
Published 09-03-2024“…We investigate the rate at which algorithms for pre-training language models have improved since the advent of deep learning. Using a dataset of over 200…”
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9
FrontierMath: A Benchmark for Evaluating Advanced Mathematical Reasoning in AI
Published 07-11-2024“…We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians. The…”
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