Search Results - "Emily Howerton"
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Benefits of near-universal vaccination and treatment access to manage COVID-19 burden in the United States
Published in BMC medicine (24-08-2023)“…As we continue the fourth year of the COVID-19 epidemic, SARS-CoV-2 infections still cause high morbidity and mortality in the United States. During 2020-2022,…”
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Journal Article -
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Optimal spatial evaluation of a pro rata vaccine distribution rule for COVID-19
Published in Scientific reports (07-02-2023)“…The COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access (COVAX) is a World Health Organization (WHO) initiative that aims for an equitable access of COVID-19 vaccines. Despite…”
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Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination
Published in eLife (21-06-2022)“…In Spring 2021, the highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant began to cause increases in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in parts of the United…”
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Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making
Published in PLoS biology (17-06-2021)“…More than 1.6 million Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) tests were administered daily in the United States at the peak of the…”
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People and Data: solving planetary challenges together
Published in Frontiers in environmental science (07-02-2024)“…The advancement of computing and information collection technologies has created vast amounts of data describing the world surrounding us. Yet, our planet…”
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When do we need multiple infectious disease models? Agreement between projection rank and magnitude in a multi-model setting
Published in Epidemics (01-06-2024)“…Mathematical models are useful for public health planning and response to infectious disease threats. However, different models can provide differing results,…”
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Ensemble2: Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis
Published in Epidemics (01-03-2024)“…Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, scenario modeling played a crucial role in shaping the decision-making process of public health policies. Unlike forecasts,…”
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Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios - United States, April-September 2021
Published in MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report (14-05-2021)“…After a period of rapidly declining U.S. COVID-19 incidence during January-March 2021, increases occurred in several jurisdictions (1,2) despite the rapid…”
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Journal Article Newsletter -
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Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design
Published in Epidemics (01-06-2024)“…Across many fields, scenario modeling has become an important tool for exploring long-term projections and how they might depend on potential interventions and…”
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The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy
Published in Epidemics (01-03-2024)“…Between December 2020 and April 2023, the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub (SMH) generated operational multi-month projections of COVID-19 burden in the US to…”
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Misapplied management makes matters worse: Spatially explicit control leverages biotic interactions to slow invasion
Published in Ecological applications (01-06-2024)“…A wide range of approaches has been used to manage the spread of invasive species, yet invaders continue to be a challenge to control. In some cases,…”
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Quantitative Approaches to Improve the Management of Invasive Species and Infectious Disease Outbreaks
Published 01-01-2023“…Outbreaks of invasive species and infectious diseases can cause significant harm to human, wildlife and livestock health, food security, and ecosystem…”
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Dissertation -
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The effect of governance structures on optimal control of two-patch epidemic models
Published in Journal of mathematical biology (01-11-2023)“…Infectious diseases continue to pose a significant threat to the health of humans globally. While the spread of pathogens transcends geographical boundaries,…”
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Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology
Published in Journal of the Royal Society interface (25-01-2023)“…Probabilistic predictions support public health planning and decision making, especially in infectious disease emergencies. Aggregating outputs from multiple…”
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Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (02-05-2023)“…Policymakers must make management decisions despite incomplete knowledge and conflicting model projections. Little guidance exists for the rapid,…”
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Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-10-2021)“…Stay-at-home orders and shutdowns of non-essential businesses are powerful, but socially costly, tools to control the pandemic spread of SARS-CoV-2. Mass…”
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Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub
Published in PLoS medicine (17-04-2024)“…Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to cause significant hospitalizations and deaths in the United States. Its continued burden and the impact of…”
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Ensemble 2 : Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis
Published in Epidemics (01-03-2024)“…Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, scenario modeling played a crucial role in shaping the decision-making process of public health policies. Unlike forecasts,…”
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Journal Article -
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A flight-based metric for evaluating NFL punters
Published in Journal of sports analytics (22-08-2018)“…Common evaluation metrics for NFL punters are outdated, failing to account for field position and touchbacks. Using detailed information on each punt of the…”
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Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: a multi-model studyResearch in context
Published in Lancet Regional Health - Americas (Online) (01-01-2023)“…Background: The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub convened nine modeling teams to project the impact of expanding SARS-CoV-2 vaccination to children aged 5–11…”
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Journal Article