Search Results - "Drautzburg, Thorsten"
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A structural approach to combining external and DSGE model forecasts
Published in Economics letters (01-02-2024)“…This note shows that combining external forecasts such as the Survey of Professional Forecasters can significantly increase DSGE forecast accuracy while…”
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Journal Article -
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Fiscal stimulus and distortionary taxation
Published in Review of economic dynamics (01-10-2015)“…We quantify the fiscal multipliers in response to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. We extend the benchmark medium-scale New Keynesian…”
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Entrepreneurial tail risk: Implications for employment dynamics
Published in Journal of monetary economics (01-06-2019)“…•An equilibrium model of entrepreneurial entry with incomplete diversification.•The model is quantitative, yet tractable enough to estimate with standard…”
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A narrative approach to a fiscal DSGE model
Published in Quantitative economics (01-05-2020)“…Structural DSGE models are used for analyzing both policy and the sources of business cycles. Conclusions based on full structural models are, however,…”
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The role of startups for local labor markets
Published in Journal of applied econometrics (Chichester, England) (01-09-2020)“…Summary There are substantial differences in startup activity across US local labor markets. We study the causes and consequences of these differences. Startup…”
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Refining set-identification in VARs through independence
Published in Journal of econometrics (01-08-2023)“…Identification in VARs has traditionally mainly relied on second moments. Some researchers have considered using higher moments as well, but there are concerns…”
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Accounting for the sources of macroeconomic tail risks
Published in Economics letters (01-04-2018)“…Using a multi-industry real business cycle model, we empirically examine the microeconomic origins of aggregate tail risks. Our model, estimated using…”
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Bargaining shocks and aggregate fluctuations
Published in Journal of economic dynamics & control (01-06-2021)“…We argue that social and political risk causes significant aggregate fluctuations by changing workers’ bargaining power. Using a Bayesian proxy-VAR estimated…”
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Identification and inference with ranking restrictions
Published in Quantitative economics (2021)“…We propose to add ranking restrictions on impulse-responses to sign restrictions to narrow the identified set in vector autoregressions (VARs). Ranking…”
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Essays on macroeconomics
Published 01-01-2013“…My dissertation is a positive analysis of two topics in macroeconomics: New businesses, entrepreneurship, and job creation is the subject of the first essay,…”
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Dissertation -
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Essays on macroeconomics
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Dissertation