Search Results - "Dorrington, Joshua"

A Joint Perspective on North American and Euro‐Atlantic Weather Regimes by Messori, Gabriele, Dorrington, Joshua

“…Weather regimes are recurrent and quasi‐stationary large‐scale atmospheric circulation patterns, typically linking to surface weather. Two commonly used sets…”
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A topological perspective on weather regimes by Strommen, Kristian, Chantry, Matthew, Dorrington, Joshua, Otter, Nina

“…It has long been suggested that the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation possesses what has come to be known as ‘weather regimes’, loosely categorised as…”
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Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall by Dorrington, Joshua, Grams, Christian, Grazzini, Federico, Magnusson, Linus, Vitart, Frederic

“…A number of studies have investigated the large‐scale drivers and upstream precursors of extreme weather events, making it clear that the earliest warning…”
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Beyond skill scores: exploring sub‐seasonal forecast value through a case‐study of French month‐ahead energy prediction by Dorrington, Joshua, Finney, Isla, Palmer, Tim, Weisheimer, Antje

“…We quantify the value of sub‐seasonal forecasts for a real‐world prediction problem: the forecasting of French month‐ahead energy demand. Using surface…”
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On the interaction of stochastic forcing and regime dynamics by Dorrington, Joshua, Palmer, Tim

“…Stochastic forcing can, sometimes, stabilise atmospheric regime dynamics, increasing their persistence. This counter-intuitive effect has been observed in…”
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Improving forecasts of precipitation extremes over northern and central Italy using machine learning by Grazzini, Federico, Dorrington, Joshua, Grams, Christian M., Craig, George C., Magnusson, Linus, Vitart, Frederic

“…The accurate prediction of intense precipitation events is one of the main objectives of operational weather services. This task is even more relevant…”
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Precursors and pathways: dynamically informed extreme event forecasting demonstrated on the historic Emilia-Romagna 2023 flood by Dorrington, Joshua, Wenta, Marta, Grazzini, Federico, Magnusson, Linus, Vitart, Frederic, Grams, Christian M

“…The ever-increasing complexity and data volumes of numerical weather prediction demand innovations in the analysis and synthesis of operational forecast data…”
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Quantifying climate model representation of the wintertime Euro-Atlantic circulation using geopotential-jet regimes by Dorrington, Joshua, Strommen, Kristian, Fabiano, Federico

“…Even the most advanced climate models struggle to reproduce the observed wintertime circulation of the atmosphere over the North Atlantic and western Europe…”
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On the Variability and Forced Response of Atmospheric Regime Systems by Dorrington, Joshua C F

“…The nonlinear, eddy-driven dynamics of the Euro-Atlantic troposphere are notoriously complex. The regime hypothesis - the idea that the continuous range of…”
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Quantifying intra-regime weather variability for energy applications by Gerighausen, Judith, Dorrington, Joshua, Osman, Marisol, Grams, Christian M

“…Weather regimes describe the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the mid-latitudes in terms of a few circulation states that modulate regional surface…”
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Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall by Dorrington, Joshua, Grams, Christian, Grazzini, Federico, Magnusson, Linus, Vitart, Frederic

“…A number of studies have investigated the large-scale drivers and upstream-precursors of extreme weather events, making it clear that the earliest warning…”
Get full text

Improving forecasts of precipitation extremes over Northern and Central Italy using machine learning by Grazzini, Federico, Dorrington, Joshua, Grams, Christian M, Craig, George C, Magnusson, Linus, Vitart, Frederic

“…The accurate prediction of intense precipitation events is one of the main objectives of operational weather services. This task is even more relevant…”
Get full text

A topological perspective on weather regimes by Strommen, Kristian, Chantry, Matthew, Dorrington, Joshua, Otter, Nina

“…It has long been suggested that the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation possesses what has come to be known as `weather regimes', loosely categorised as…”
Get full text

Beyond skill scores: exploring sub-seasonal forecast value through a case study of French month-ahead energy prediction by Dorrington, Joshua, Finney, Isla, Palmer, Tim, Weisheimer, Antje

“…We quantify the value of sub-seasonal forecasts for a real-world prediction problem: the forecasting of French month-ahead energy demand. Using surface…”
Get full text