Search Results - "De Angelis, Daniela"
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Transmission dynamics and control measures of COVID-19 outbreak in China: a modelling study
Published in Scientific reports (29-01-2021)“…COVID-19 is reported to have been brought under control in China. To understand the COVID-19 outbreak in China and provide potential lessons for other parts of…”
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Decreasing hospital burden of COVID-19 during the first wave in Regione Lombardia: an emergency measures context
Published in BMC public health (03-09-2021)“…The aim of this study is to quantify the hospital burden of COVID-19 during the first wave and how it changed over calendar time; to interpret the results in…”
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Correction to: decreasing hospital burden of COVID-19 during the first wave in Regione Lombardia: an emergency measures context
Published in BMC public health (15-11-2021)Get full text
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Forecasting the 2017/2018 seasonal influenza epidemic in England using multiple dynamic transmission models: a case study
Published in BMC public health (15-04-2020)“…Since the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic, Public Health England have developed a suite of real-time statistical models utilising enhanced pandemic surveillance data to…”
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Trends in undiagnosed HIV prevalence in England and implications for eliminating HIV transmission by 2030: an evidence synthesis model
Published in The Lancet. Public health (01-10-2021)“…A target to eliminate HIV transmission in England by 2030 was set in early 2019. This study aimed to estimate trends from 2013 to 2019 in HIV prevalence,…”
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Gene Expression of Nucleic Acid-Sensing Pattern Recognition Receptors in Children Hospitalized for Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Acute Bronchiolitis
Published in Clinical and Vaccine Immunology (01-06-2009)“…Classifications Services CVI Citing Articles Google Scholar PubMed Related Content Social Bookmarking CiteULike Delicious Digg Facebook Google+ Mendeley Reddit…”
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Bayesian Emulation and Calibration of a Dynamic Epidemic Model for A/H1N1 Influenza
Published in Journal of the American Statistical Association (01-12-2014)“…In this article, we develop a Bayesian framework for parameter estimation of a computationally expensive dynamic epidemic model using time series epidemic…”
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Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (13-03-2015)“…Despite some notable successes in the control of infectious diseases, transmissible pathogens still pose an enormous threat to human and animal health. The…”
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The impact of needle and syringe provision and opiate substitution therapy on the incidence of hepatitis C virus in injecting drug users: pooling of UK evidence
Published in Addiction (Abingdon, England) (01-11-2011)“…ABSTRACT Aims To investigate whether opiate substitution therapy (OST) and needle and syringe programmes (NSP) can reduce hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission…”
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MultiBUGS: A Parallel Implementation of the BUGS Modelling Framework for Faster Bayesian Inference
Published in Journal of statistical software (07-10-2020)“…MultiBUGS is a new version of the general-purpose Bayesian modelling software BUGS that implements a generic algorithm for parallelising Markov chain Monte…”
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Methods for modelling excess mortality across England during the COVID-19 pandemic
Published in Statistical methods in medical research (01-09-2022)“…Excess mortality is an important measure of the scale of the coronavirus-2019 pandemic. It includes both deaths caused directly by the pandemic, and deaths…”
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Trends in COVID-19 hospital outcomes in England before and after vaccine introduction, a cohort study
Published in Nature communications (17-08-2022)“…Widespread vaccination campaigns have changed the landscape for COVID-19, vastly altering symptoms and reducing morbidity and mortality. We estimate trends in…”
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An approximate diffusion process for environmental stochasticity in infectious disease transmission modelling
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-05-2023)“…Modelling the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease is a complex task. Not only it is difficult to accurately model the inherent non-stationarity and…”
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Estimating the prevalence of problem drug use from drug‐related mortality data
Published in Addiction (Abingdon, England) (01-12-2020)“…Background and Aims Indirect estimation methods are required for estimating the size of populations where only a proportion of individuals are observed…”
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Estimating HIV Incidence, Time to Diagnosis, and the Undiagnosed HIV Epidemic Using Routine Surveillance Data
Published in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) (01-09-2015)“…BACKGROUND:Estimates of the size of the undiagnosed HIV-infected population are important to understand the HIV epidemic and to plan interventions, including…”
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A Bayesian multivariate factor analysis model for evaluating an intervention by using observational time series data on multiple outcomes
Published in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, Statistics in society (01-10-2020)“…Summary A problem that is frequently encountered in many areas of scientific research is that of estimating the effect of a non‐randomized binary intervention…”
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Estimating age-stratified influenza-associated invasive pneumococcal disease in England: A time-series model based on population surveillance data
Published in PLoS medicine (27-06-2019)“…Measures of the contribution of influenza to Streptococcus pneumoniae infections, both in the seasonal and pandemic setting, are needed to predict the burden…”
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Adjusting for time of infection or positive test when estimating the risk of a post-infection outcome in an epidemic
Published in Statistical methods in medical research (01-10-2022)“…When comparing the risk of a post-infection binary outcome, for example, hospitalisation, for two variants of an infectious pathogen, it is important to adjust…”
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HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in England and Wales 2001–10: a nationwide population study
Published in The Lancet infectious diseases (01-04-2013)“…Summary Background Control of HIV transmission could be achievable through an expansion of HIV testing of at-risk populations together with ready access and…”
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A comparison of two frameworks for multi-state modelling, applied to outcomes after hospital admissions with COVID-19
Published in Statistical methods in medical research (01-09-2022)“…We compare two multi-state modelling frameworks that can be used to represent dates of events following hospital admission for people infected during an…”
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