Search Results - "Dankers, Rutger"
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Climate change impact on flood hazard in Europe: An assessment based on high-resolution climate simulations
Published in Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres (16-10-2008)“…Global warming is generally expected to increase the magnitude and frequency of extreme precipitation events, which may lead to more intense and frequent river…”
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Impact of global warming on streamflow drought in Europe
Published in Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres (16-09-2009)“…Recent developments in climate modeling suggest that global warming is likely to favor conditions for the development of droughts in many regions of Europe…”
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Grappling with uncertainties in physical climate impact projections of water resources
Published in Climatic change (01-12-2020)“…This paper reviews the sources of uncertainty in physical climate impact assessments. It draws on examples from related fields such as climate modelling and…”
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4
Flood hazard in Europe in an ensemble of regional climate scenarios
Published in Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres (27-08-2009)“…We analyze changes in flood hazard in Europe by examining extreme discharge levels as simulated by the hydrological model LISFLOOD when driven by a multimodel…”
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5
Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (04-03-2014)“…Water scarcity severely impairs food security and economic prosperity in many countries today. Expected future population changes will, in many countries as…”
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Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (04-03-2014)“…Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are expected to modify the global water cycle with significant consequences for terrestrial…”
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First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (04-03-2014)“…Climate change due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of precipitation events, which is likely to…”
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Carbon residence time dominates uncertainty in terrestrial vegetation responses to future climate and atmospheric CO2
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (04-03-2014)“…Future climate change and increasing atmospheric CO2 are expected to cause major changes in vegetation structure and function over large fractions of the…”
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A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C
Published in Climatic change (01-04-2017)“…We present one of the first climate change impact assessments on river runoff that utilises an ensemble of global hydrological models (Glob-HMs) and an…”
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Physical and economic consequences of climate change in Europe
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (15-02-2011)“…Quantitative estimates of the economic damages of climate change usually are based on aggregate relationships linking average temperature change to loss in…”
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Worldwide evaluation of mean and extreme runoff from six global-scale hydrological models that account for human impacts
Published in Environmental research letters (01-06-2018)“…Global-scale hydrological models are routinely used to assess water scarcity, flood hazards and droughts worldwide. Recent efforts to incorporate anthropogenic…”
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Extreme Rainfall and Flooding over Central Kenya Including Nairobi City during the Long-Rains Season 2018: Causes, Predictability, and Potential for Early Warning and Actions
Published in Atmosphere (01-12-2018)“…The Long-Rains wet season of March–May (MAM) over Kenya in 2018 was one of the wettest on record. This paper examines the nature, causes, impacts, and…”
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Improving the Health Forecasting Alert System for Cold Weather and Heat-Waves In England: A Proof-of-Concept Using Temperature-Mortality Relationships
Published in PloS one (02-10-2015)“…In this study a prototype of a new health forecasting alert system is developed, which is aligned to the approach used in the Met Office's (MO) National Severe…”
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A retrospective analysis of pan Arctic permafrost using the JULES land surface model
Published in Climate dynamics (01-08-2013)“…There is mounting evidence that permafrost degradation has occurred over the past century. However, the amount of permafrost lost is uncertain because…”
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Unravelling the interplay between water and food systems in arid and semi-arid environments: the case of Egypt
Published in Food security (01-10-2021)“…Food system analysis in arid and semi-arid countries inevitably meets water availability as a major constraining food system driver. Many such countries are…”
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Potential impact of climate change on ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region
Published in Climatic change (01-03-2008)“…The EU project BALANCE (Global Change Vulnerabilities in the Barents region: Linking Arctic Natural Resources, Climate Change and Economies) aims to assess…”
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Decisions with weather warnings when waiting is an option
Published in International journal of disaster risk reduction (15-02-2024)“…We use laboratory experiments to study decisions with a two-stage weather warning system that varies in the reliability of early warnings. The warning system…”
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Deriving optimal weather pattern definitions for the representation of precipitation variability over India
Published in International journal of climatology (01-01-2020)“…This study utilizes cluster analysis to produce sets of weather patterns for the Indian subcontinent. These patterns have been developed with future…”
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Fluvial flood risk in Europe in present and future climates
Published in Climatic change (01-05-2012)“…In this work we evaluate the implications of climate change for future fluvial flood risk in Europe, considering climate developments under the SRES A2 (high…”
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Linking weather patterns to regional extreme precipitation for highlighting potential flood events in medium‐ to long‐range forecasts
Published in Meteorological applications (01-07-2020)“…Medium‐ to long‐range precipitation forecasts are a crucial component in mitigating the impacts of fluvial flood events. Although precipitation is difficult to…”
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