Search Results - "Dakos, V."

Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness by Lenton, T. M., Livina, V. N., Dakos, V., Van Nes, E. H., Scheffer, M.

“…We address whether robust early warning signals can, in principle, be provided before a climate tipping point is reached, focusing on methods that seek to…”
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Editorial: special issue on regime shifts and tipping points in ecology by Dakos, V., Hastings, A.

“…Issue Title: Special Issue: Regime Shifts and Tipping Points in Ecology…”
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Interaction network based early-warning indicators of vegetation transitions by Tirabassi, G., Viebahn, J., Dakos, V., Dijkstra, H.A., Masoller, C., Rietkerk, M., Dekker, S.C.

“…•We introduced a new method for detecting catastrophic transitions in ecological systems.•The new method is compared to the classical indicators of…”
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Evidencing a regime shift in the North Sea using early-warning signals as indicators of critical transitions by Wouters, N., Dakos, V., Edwards, M., Serafim, M.P., Valayer, P.J., Cabral, H.N.

“…One of the longest marine monitoring programs in the North Sea has been the spatiotemporal surveying of subsurface plankton since 1931. During this period a…”
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Climate bifurcation during the last deglaciation? by Lenton, T. M, Livina, V. N, Dakos, V, Scheffer, M

“…There were two abrupt warming events during the last deglaciation, at the start of the Bølling-Allerød and at the end of the Younger Dryas, but their…”
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Climate models predict increasing temperature variability in poor countries by Bathiany, Sebastian, Dakos, Vasilis, Scheffer, Marten, Lenton, Timothy M

“…Extreme events such as heat waves are among the most challenging aspects of climate change for societies. We show that climate models consistently project…”
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Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition by Scheffer, Marten, Carpenter, Stephen R, Dakos, Vasilis, van Nes, Egbert H

“…Ecological resilience is the ability of a system to persist in the face of perturbations. Although resilience has been a highly influential concept, its…”
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Resilience indicators: prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts by Dakos, Vasilis, Carpenter, Stephen R., van Nes, Egbert H., Scheffer, Marten

“…In the vicinity of tipping points—or more precisely bifurcation points—ecosystems recover slowly from small perturbations. Such slowness may be interpreted as…”
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Profit fluctuations signal eroding resilience of natural resources by Richter, Andries, Dakos, Vasilis

“…A common pattern of environmental crises is a vicious cycle between environmental degradation and socio-economic disturbances. Here we show that while such…”
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Anticipating Critical Transitions by Scheffer, Marten, Carpenter, Stephen R., Lenton, Timothy M., Bascompte, Jordi, Brock, William, Dakos, Vasilis, van de Koppel, Johan, van de Leemput, Ingrid A., Levin, Simon A., van Nes, Egbert H., Pascual, Mercedes, Vandermeer, John

“…Tipping points in complex systems may imply risks of unwanted collapse, but also opportunities for positive change. Our capacity to navigate such risks and…”
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Living dangerously on borrowed time during slow, unrecognized regime shifts by Hughes, Terry P., Linares, Cristina, Dakos, Vasilis, van de Leemput, Ingrid A., van Nes, Egbert H.

“…Regime shifts from one ecological state to another are often portrayed as sudden, dramatic, and difficult to reverse. Yet many regime shifts unfold slowly and…”
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Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system by Veraart, Annelies J., Faassen, Elisabeth J., Dakos, Vasilis, van Nes, Egbert H., Lürling, Miquel, Scheffer, Marten

“…Decreased rates of recovery from perturbations, or critical slowing down, are demonstrated in a living system, indicating that recovery rates can be used to…”
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Early warning signals of ecological transitions: methods for spatial patterns by Kéfi, Sonia, Guttal, Vishwesha, Brock, William A, Carpenter, Stephen R, Ellison, Aaron M, Livina, Valerie N, Seekell, David A, Scheffer, Marten, van Nes, Egbert H, Dakos, Vasilis

“…A number of ecosystems can exhibit abrupt shifts between alternative stable states. Because of their important ecological and economic consequences, recent…”
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Early-warning signals for critical transitions by Scheffer, Marten, Bascompte, Jordi, Brock, William A., Brovkin, Victor, Carpenter, Stephen R., Dakos, Vasilis, Held, Hermann, van Nes, Egbert H., Rietkerk, Max, Sugihara, George

“…Tip-offs for tipping points Many complex systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have critical thresholds or tipping points…”
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Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data by Dakos, Vasilis, Carpenter, Stephen R, Brock, William A, Ellison, Aaron M, Guttal, Vishwesha, Ives, Anthony R, Kéfi, Sonia, Livina, Valerie, Seekell, David A, van Nes, Egbert H, Scheffer, Marten

“…Many dynamical systems, including lakes, organisms, ocean circulation patterns, or financial markets, are now thought to have tipping points where critical…”
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Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down by Dakos, Vasilis, van Nes, Egbert H, D'Odorico, Paolo, Scheffer, Marten

“…Ecosystems close to a critical threshold lose resilience, in the sense that perturbations can more easily push them into an alternative state. Recently, it has…”
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Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change by Dakos, Vasilis, Scheffer, Marten, van Nes, Egbert H, Brovkin, Victor, Petoukhov, Vladimir, Held, Hermann

“…In the Earth's history, periods of relatively stable climate have often been interrupted by sharp transitions to a contrasting state. One explanation for such…”
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Toward Principles for Enhancing the Resilience of Ecosystem Services by Biggs, Reinette, Schlüter, Maja, Biggs, Duan, Bohensky, Erin L, BurnSilver, Shauna, Cundill, Georgina, Dakos, Vasilis, Daw, Tim M, Evans, Louisa S, Kotschy, Karen, Leitch, Anne M, Meek, Chanda, Quinlan, Allyson, Raudsepp-Hearne, Ciara, Robards, Martin D, Schoon, Michael L, Schultz, Lisen, West, Paul C

“…Enhancing the resilience of ecosystem services (ES) that underpin human well-being is critical for meeting current and future societal needs, and requires…”
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Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions by Kéfi, Sonia, Dakos, Vasilis, Scheffer, Marten, Van Nes, Egbert H., Rietkerk, Max

“…Ecosystem responses to external changes can surprise us by their abruptness and irreversibility. Models have helped identifying indicators of impending…”
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Slow Recovery from Local Disturbances as an Indicator for Loss of Ecosystem Resilience by van de Leemput, Ingrid A., Dakos, Vasilis, Scheffer, Marten, van Nes, Egbert H.

“…A range of indicators have been proposed for identifying the elevated risk of critical transitions in ecosystems. Most indicators are based on the idea that…”
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