Search Results - "Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus"
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1
Overcoming gender inequality for climate resilient development
Published in Nature communications (15-12-2020)“…Gender inequalities are reflected in differential vulnerability, and exposure to the hazards posed by climate change and addressing them is key to increase the…”
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2
Production structure, tradability and fiscal spending multipliers
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-11-2023)“…We assess the role that nontradable goods play as a determinant of fiscal spending multipliers, making use of a two-sector model. While fiscal multipliers…”
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3
Modelling and projecting digital trends in European regions: an econometric framework
Published in Regional studies (02-11-2021)“…Our modelling strategy assesses model uncertainty explicitly and aims to identify the main drivers of differences in digital variables at the household and…”
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Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity
Published in Nature sustainability (01-01-2020)“…Weak governance is one of the key obstacles for sustainable development. Undoubtedly, improvement of governance comes with a broad range of co-benefits,…”
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Uncertainty and business cycle synchronization in Europe
Published in Applied economics letters (25-06-2022)“…We assess empirically the role that uncertainty plays as a determinant of business cycle synchronization dynamics in the European Monetary Union. Using a…”
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Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-10-2023)“…We provide a comprehensive assessment of the predictive power of combinations of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models for GDP growth,…”
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7
Explaining long-term bond yields synchronization dynamics in Europe
Published in Economic modelling (01-04-2024)“…We present a novel empirical assessment of the determinants of sovereign yield synchronization dynamics in the European Monetary Union. This topic has been…”
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Agricultural commodity price dynamics and their determinants: A comprehensive econometric approach
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-11-2021)“…We present a comprehensive modelling framework aimed at quantifying the response of agricultural commodity prices to changes in their potential determinants…”
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9
When Do We See Poverty Convergence?
Published in Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics (01-12-2022)“…ABSTRACT We show why convergence in mean income levels and the negative relation between mean income growth and poverty changes need not lead to proportionate…”
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10
Regime‐dependent commodity price dynamics: A predictive analysis
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-11-2024)“…We develop an econometric modelling framework to forecast commodity prices taking into account potentially different dynamics and linkages existing at…”
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11
Fundamentals, speculation or macroeconomic conditions? Modelling and forecasting Arabica coffee prices
Published in European review of agricultural economics (01-09-2018)“…We analyse the role played by market fundamentals, speculation and macroeconomic conditions as empirical determinants of price changes in Arabica coffee. We…”
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12
We just estimated twenty million fiscal multipliers
Published in Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics (01-06-2020)“…We analyse the role played by data and specification choices as determinants of the size of the fiscal multipliers obtained using structural vector…”
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13
Will the Sustainable Development Goals be fulfilled? Assessing present and future global poverty
Published in Humanities & social sciences communications (01-12-2018)“…Monitoring progress towards the fulfillment of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) requires the assessment of potential future trends in poverty. This…”
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14
A unified modelling framework for projecting sectoral greenhouse gas emissions
Published in Communications earth & environment (01-12-2024)“…Effectively tackling climate change requires sound knowledge about greenhouse gas emissions and their sources. Currently, there is a lack of comprehensive,…”
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15
Estimating global economic well-being with unlit settlements
Published in Nature communications (05-05-2022)“…It is well established that nighttime radiance, measured from satellites, correlates with economic prosperity across the globe. In developing countries, areas…”
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16
Fiscal multipliers in a small open economy: the case of Austria
Published in Oxford economic papers (01-04-2022)“…Abstract We estimate fiscal multipliers for Austria in a framework of model uncertainty emanating from the choice of a particular econometric model. We present…”
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17
Exchange rate forecasting and the performance of currency portfolios
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-08-2018)“…We examine the potential gains of using exchange rate forecast models and forecast combination methods in the management of currency portfolios for three…”
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The effect of structural reforms on employment and the trade–labour link: Robust evidence from Europe and Central Asia
Published in Economics of transition and institutional change (01-10-2024)“…We use Bayesian model averaging techniques to assess the role of different types of structural and institutional variables and their interaction with specific…”
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19
Natural disasters and human capital accumulation
Published in The World Bank economic review (01-01-2010)“…The empirical literature on the relationship between natural disaster risk and investment in education is inconclusive. Model averaging methods in a framework…”
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On the empirics of reserve requirements and economic growth
Published in Journal of macroeconomics (01-06-2019)“…Reserve requirements, as a tool of macroprudential policy, have been increasingly employed since the outbreak of the great financial crisis. We conduct an…”
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