Search Results - "Chowell, G."

Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020 by Roosa, K., Lee, Y., Luo, R., Kirpich, A., Rothenberg, R., Hyman, J.M., Yan, P., Chowell, G.

“…The initial cluster of severe pneumonia cases that triggered the COVID-19 epidemic was identified in Wuhan, China in December 2019. While early cases of the…”
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Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014 by Nishiura, H, Chowell, G

“…The effective reproduction number, R t , of Ebola virus disease was estimated using country-specific data reported from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone to the…”
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Spatial infectious disease epidemiology: on the cusp by Chowell, G, Rothenberg, R

“…Infectious diseases continue to pose a significant public health burden despite the great progress achieved in their prevention and control over the last few…”
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Mathematical models to elucidate the transmission dynamics and control of vector-borne disease by Chowell, G

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Spatial variability in the risk of death from COVID-19 in Italy by Mizumoto, K., Dahal, S., Chowell, G.

“…OBJECTIVES: Italy has been badly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and has one of the highest death tolls. We analyzed the severity of COVID-19 across all 20…”
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Assessing the potential impact of vector-borne disease transmission following heavy rainfall events: a mathematical framework by Chowell, G, Mizumoto, K, Banda, J M, Poccia, S, Perrings, C

“…Predicting the impact of natural disasters such as hurricanes on the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases poses significant challenges. In this paper,…”
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Real-time forecasting of epidemic trajectories using computational dynamic ensembles by Chowell, G., Luo, R., Sun, K., Roosa, K., Tariq, A., Viboud, C.

“…•New ensemble model technique for sequential forecasting that weights a set of plausible models through computational bootstrapping.•Ensemble application with…”
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Seasonal influenza in the United States, France, and Australia: transmission and prospects for control by CHOWELL, G., MILLER, M. A., VIBOUD, C.

“…Recurrent epidemics of influenza are observed seasonally around the world with considerable health and economic consequences. A key quantity for the control of…”
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Transmission potential of the new influenza A(H1N1) virus and its age-specificity in Japan by Nishiura, H, Castillo-Chavez, C, Safan, M, Chowell, G

“…On 16 May 2009, Japan confirmed its first three cases of new influenza A(H1N1) virus infection without a history of overseas travel, and by 1 June, 361 cases,…”
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Growth scaling for the early dynamics of HIV/AIDS epidemics in Brazil and the influence of socio-demographic factors by Dinh, L., Chowell, G., Rothenberg, R.

“…•The generalized-growth model is a useful tool to characterize variability in epidemic growth patterns at different spatial scales.•The growth scaling of the…”
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Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria, July to September 2014 by Fasina, F O, Shittu, A, Lazarus, D, Tomori, O, Simonsen, L, Viboud, C, Chowell, G

“…We analyse up-to-date epidemiological data of the Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria as of 1 October 2014 in order to estimate the case fatality rate, the…”
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Assessing reporting delays and the effective reproduction number: The Ebola epidemic in DRC, May 2018–January 2019 by Tariq, A., Roosa, K., Mizumoto, K., Chowell, G.

“…•The epidemic appears to be approaching a steady state with ∼35 cases per week during last 8 weeks.•The average reporting delay exhibited 81.1% decline from…”
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Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: Assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions by Chowell, G., Ammon, C.E., Hengartner, N.W., Hyman, J.M.

“…Recurrent outbreaks of the avian H5N1 influenza virus in Asia represent a constant global pandemic threat. We characterize and evaluate hypothetical public…”
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Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case by Nishiura, H, Miyamatsu, Y, Chowell, G, Saitoh, M

“…To guide risk assessment, expected numbers of cases and generations were estimated, assuming a case importation of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). Our…”
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The basic reproductive number of Ebola and the effects of public health measures: the cases of Congo and Uganda by Chowell, G., Hengartner, N.W., Castillo-Chavez, C., Fenimore, P.W., Hyman, J.M.

“…Despite improved control measures, Ebola remains a serious public health risk in African regions where recurrent outbreaks have been observed since the initial…”
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Qualitative analysis of the level of cross-protection between epidemic waves of the 1918–1919 influenza pandemic by Rios-Doria, D., Chowell, G.

“…The 1918–1919 influenza pandemic was composed of multiple waves within a period of nine months in several regions of the world. Increasing our understanding of…”
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Impact of weekday social contact patterns on the modeling of influenza transmission, and determination of the influenza latent period by Towers, S., Chowell, G.

“…Human social contact patterns show marked day-of-week variations, with a higher frequency of contacts occurring during weekdays when children are in school,…”
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The burden of influenza and respiratory syncytial viruses in Japan, 2006–2014: A region- and age-specific excess mortality study by Mizumoto, K., Chowell, G., Simonsen, L., Nishiura, H.

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Susceptibility to organophosphates pesticides and the development of infectious-contagious respiratory diseases by Gutiérrez-Jara, J.P., Córdova-Lepe, F.D., Muñoz-Quezada, M.T., Chowell, G.

“…•An intoxication-diseases dynamic model with genetic susceptibility levels is studied.•R0 value is expressed as a weighted average by levels susceptibility to…”
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SARS outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism by Chowell, G., Fenimore, P.W., Castillo-Garsow, M.A., Castillo-Chavez, C.

“…In this article we use global and regional data from the SARS epidemic in conjunction with a model of susceptible, exposed, infective, diagnosed, and recovered…”
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