Search Results - "Chen, Jan‐Huey"
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Seasonal Predictions of Tropical Cyclones Using a 25-km-Resolution General Circulation Model
Published in Journal of climate (15-01-2013)“…Retrospective seasonal predictions of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the three major ocean basins of the Northern Hemisphere are performed from 1990 to 2010 using…”
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Advancements in Hurricane Prediction With NOAA's Next‐Generation Forecast System
Published in Geophysical research letters (28-04-2019)“…We use the fvGFS model developed at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory to demonstrate the potential of the upcoming United States Next‐Generation Global…”
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Simulation and Prediction of Category 4 and 5 Hurricanes in the High-Resolution GFDL HiFLOR Coupled Climate Model
Published in Journal of climate (01-12-2015)“…A new high-resolution Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) coupled model [the High-Resolution Forecast-Oriented Low Ocean Resolution (FLOR) model…”
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TOWARD CONVECTIVE-SCALE PREDICTION WITHIN THE NEXT GENERATION GLOBAL PREDICTION SYSTEM
Published in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (01-07-2019)“…The Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) has developed a new variable-resolution global model with the ability to represent convective-scale features…”
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Regulating Fine‐Scale Resolved Convection in High‐Resolution Models for Better Hurricane Track Prediction
Published in Geophysical research letters (16-07-2023)“…High‐resolution atmospheric models are powerful tools for hurricane track and intensity predictions. Although using high resolution contributes to better…”
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The remarkable predictability of inter-annual variability of Atlantic hurricanes during the past decade
Published in Geophysical research letters (01-06-2011)“…A newly developed global model, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) High‐Resolution Atmospheric Model (HiRAM) which is designed for both weather…”
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Improved Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Responses to ENSO in the Western North Pacific in the High-Resolution GFDL HiFLOR Coupled Climate Model
Published in Journal of climate (15-02-2016)“…This study aims to assess whether, and the extent to which, an increase in atmospheric resolution of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)…”
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Skillful Prediction of Monthly Major Hurricane Activity in the North Atlantic with Two‐way Nesting
Published in Geophysical research letters (16-08-2019)“…We investigate the monthly prediction of North Atlantic hurricane and especially major hurricane activity based on the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory…”
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Tropical cyclone sensitivities to CO2 doubling: roles of atmospheric resolution, synoptic variability and background climate changes
Published in Climate dynamics (01-11-2019)“…Responses of tropical cyclones (TCs) to CO 2 doubling are explored using coupled global climate models (GCMs) with increasingly refined atmospheric/land…”
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Intraseasonal Tropical Cyclogenesis Prediction in a Global Coupled Model System
Published in Journal of climate (01-08-2018)“…Motivated by increasing demand in the community for intraseasonal predictions of weather extremes, predictive skill of tropical cyclogenesis is investigated in…”
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Dependence on initial conditions versus model formulations for medium‐range forecast error variations
Published in Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (01-07-2019)“…Understanding the root causes of forecast errors and occasional very poor forecasts is essential but difficult. In this paper we investigate the relative…”
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A Potential Vorticity Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Errors
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-03-2024)“…Tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting provides essential guidance for coastal communities. However, track forecast errors still occur, highlighting the need…”
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SPEAR: The Next Generation GFDL Modeling System for Seasonal to Multidecadal Prediction and Projection
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-03-2020)“…We document the development and simulation characteristics of the next generation modeling system for seasonal to decadal prediction and projection at the…”
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GFDL SHiELD: A Unified System for Weather‐to‐Seasonal Prediction
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-10-2020)“…We present the System for High‐resolution prediction on Earth‐to‐Local Domains (SHiELD), an atmosphere model developed by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics…”
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Tropical Cyclone Forecasts in the DIMOSIC Project—Medium‐Range Forecast Models With Common Initial Conditions
Published in Earth and space science (Hoboken, N.J.) (01-07-2023)“…The tropical cyclone (TC) forecast skill of the eight global medium‐range forecast models which are participating in the DIfferent Models, Same Initial…”
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Subseasonal Prediction of Land Cold Extremes in Boreal Wintertime
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres (16-07-2020)“…Subseasonal climate prediction has emerged as a top forecast priority but remains a great challenge. Subseasonal extreme prediction is even more difficult than…”
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Improving Global Weather Prediction in GFDL SHiELD Through an Upgraded GFDL Cloud Microphysics Scheme
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-07-2022)“…We describe the third version of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory cloud microphysics scheme (GFDL MP v3) implemented in the System for High‐resolution…”
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Improving AGCM Hurricane Structure With Two‐Way Nesting
Published in Journal of advances in modeling earth systems (01-01-2019)“…We demonstrate that two‐way nesting significantly improves the structure of simulated hurricane in an atmospheric general circulation model. Two sets of 30‐day…”
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Predictability of Atlantic tropical cyclones in the GFDL HiRAM model
Published in Geophysical research letters (16-04-2015)“…The hindcasts of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) High‐Resolution Atmospheric Model (HiRAM), which skillfully predicted the interannual…”
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Impact of Intraseasonal Oscillations on the Tropical Cyclone Activity Over the Gulf of Mexico and Western Caribbean Sea in GFDL HiRAM
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres (27-12-2017)“…The tropical cyclones (TCs) that form over the warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico region pose a major threat to the surrounding coastal communities. Skillful…”
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