Search Results - "Carran, Spencer"
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Understanding how restoration reduces competition for habitat by combining theory, observation, and experiment
Published in Ecological applications (02-10-2024)“…Habitat selection theory enables inferences about species habitat choice across a range of observed population densities. However, it is relatively uncommon to…”
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Unintended consequences and the paradox of control: Management of emerging pathogens with age-specific virulence
Published in PLoS neglected tropical diseases (09-04-2018)“…We project forward total Zika virus disease (ZVD) under varying hazards of infection and consider how the age distribution of disease burden varies between…”
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Pattern in Escalations in Insurgent and Terrorist Activity
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (01-07-2011)“…In military planning, it is important to be able to estimate not only the number of fatalities but how often attacks that result in fatalities will take place…”
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Sub-national variation in measles vaccine coverage and outbreak risk: a case study from a 2010 outbreak in Malawi
Published in BMC public health (15-06-2018)“…Despite progress towards increasing global vaccination coverage, measles continues to be one of the leading, preventable causes of death among children…”
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Measles outbreak response decision-making under uncertainty: a retrospective analysis
Published in Journal of the Royal Society interface (01-03-2018)“…Resurgent outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases that have previously been controlled or eliminated have been observed in many settings. Reactive…”
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Incorporating diapause to predict the interannual dynamics of an important agricultural pest
Published in Population ecology (01-07-2022)“…We develop a new population‐scale model incorporating diapause induction and termination that allows multi‐year predictions of pest dynamics. In addition to…”
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Financial black swans driven by ultrafast machine ecology
Published 07-02-2012“…Society's drive toward ever faster socio-technical systems, means that there is an urgent need to understand the threat from 'black swan' extreme events that…”
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Dynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks
Published 07-01-2011“…new version in Science Vol. 333 no. 6038 pp. 81-84 (1 July 2011) The Red Queen's notion "It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place" has…”
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