Search Results - "CAUGHEY, DEVIN"

Information Equivalence in Survey Experiments by Dafoe, Allan, Zhang, Baobao, Caughey, Devin

“…Survey experiments often manipulate the description of attributes in a hypothetical scenario, with the goal of learning about those attributes’ real-world…”
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Causal inference and American political development: contrasts and complementarities by Caughey, Devin, Chatfield, Sara

“…Causal inference and American political development (APD) are widely separated and (to some) fundamentally incompatible tendencies within political science. In…”
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Honor and War by Dafoe, Allan, Caughey, Devin

“…Reputation has long been considered central to international relations, but unobservability, strategic selection, and endogeneity have handicapped quantitative…”
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Policy Preferences and Policy Change: Dynamic Responsiveness in the American States, 1936–2014 by CAUGHEY, DEVIN, WARSHAW, CHRISTOPHER

“…Using eight decades of data, we examine the magnitude, mechanisms, and moderators of dynamic responsiveness in the American states. We show that on both…”
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The Dynamics of State Policy Liberalism, 1936-2014 by Caughey, Devin, Warshaw, Christopher

“…Applying a dynamic latent-variable model to data on 148 policies collected over eight decades (1936–2014), we produce the first yearly measure of the policy…”
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HONOR AND WAR: Southern US Presidents and the Effects of Concern for Reputation by DAFOE, ALLAN, CAUGHEY, DEVIN

“…Reputation has long been considered central to international relations, but unobservability, strategic selection, and endogeneity have handicapped quantitative…”
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Dynamic Estimation of Latent Opinion Using a Hierarchical Group-Level IRT Model by Caughey, Devin, Warshaw, Christopher

“…Over the past eight decades, millions of people have been surveyed on their political opinions. Until recently, however, polls rarely included enough questions…”
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Incremental Democracy: The Policy Effects of Partisan Control of State Government by Caughey, Devin, Warshaw, Christopher, Xu, Yiqing

“…How much does it matter whether Democrats or Republicans control the government? Unless the two parties converge completely, election outcomes should have some…”
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Dynamic Ecological Inference for Time-Varying Population Distributions Based on Sparse, Irregular, and Noisy Marginal Data by Caughey, Devin, Wang, Mallory

“…Social scientists are frequently interested in how populations evolve over time. Creating poststratification weights for surveys, for example, requires…”
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Randomisation inference beyond the sharp null: bounded null hypotheses and quantiles of individual treatment effects by Caughey, Devin, Dafoe, Allan, Li, Xinran, Miratrix, Luke

“…Randomisation inference (RI) is typically interpreted as testing Fisher’s ‘sharp’ null hypothesis that all unit-level effects are exactly zero. This hypothesis…”
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Elections and the Regression Discontinuity Design: Lessons from Close U.S. House Races, 1942–2008 by Caughey, Devin, Sekhon, Jasjeet S.

“…Following David Lee's pioneering work, numerous scholars have applied the regression discontinuity (RD) design to popular elections. Contrary to the…”
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The ideological nationalization of partisan subconstituencies in the American States by Caughey, Devin, Dunham, James, Warshaw, Christopher

“…Since the mid-twentieth century, elite political behavior in the United States has become much more nationalized. In Congress, for example, within-party…”
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Nonparametric Combination (NPC): A Framework for Testing Elaborate Theories by Caughey, Devin, Dafoe, Allan, Seawright, Jason

“…Social scientists are commonly advised to deduce and test all observable implications of their theories. We describe a principled framework for testing such…”
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Partisan Gerrymandering and the Political Process: Effects on Roll-Call Voting and State Policies by Caughey, Devin, Tausanovitch, Chris, Warshaw, Christopher

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Book Review: How the Tea Party Captured the GOP: Insurgent Factions in American Politics by Caughey, Devin

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Congress, Public Opinion, and Representation in the One-Party South,1930s--1960s by Caughey, Devin Michael

“…This dissertation examines the extent, causes, and consequences of ideological diversity in the one-party South between the 1930s and early 1960s, both at the…”
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Randomization Inference beyond the Sharp Null: Bounded Null Hypotheses and Quantiles of Individual Treatment Effects by Caughey, Devin, Dafoe, Allan, Li, Xinran, Miratrix, Luke

“…Randomization inference (RI) is typically interpreted as testing Fisher's "sharp" null hypothesis that all unit-level effects are exactly zero. This hypothesis…”
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Beyond the Sharp Null: Randomization Inference, Bounded Null Hypotheses, and Confidence Intervals for Maximum Effects by Caughey, Devin, Dafoe, Allan, Miratrix, Luke

“…Fisherian randomization inference is often dismissed as testing an uninteresting and implausible hypothesis: the sharp null of no effects whatsoever. We show…”
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