Search Results - "Brovkin, Victor"
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Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios
Published in Nature communications (11-05-2021)“…Minimizing the risks and impacts of climate change requires limiting the global temperature increase to 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels, while the difficulty…”
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Ocean methane hydrates as a slow tipping point in the global carbon cycle
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (08-12-2009)“…We present a model of the global methane inventory as hydrate and bubbles below the sea floor. The model predicts the inventory of CH₄ in the ocean today to be…”
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3
Earth system models underestimate carbon fixation by plants in the high latitudes
Published in Nature communications (21-02-2019)“…Most Earth system models agree that land will continue to store carbon due to the physiological effects of rising CO 2 concentration and climatic changes…”
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The millennial atmospheric lifetime of anthropogenic CO2
Published in Climatic change (01-10-2008)“…The notion is pervasive in the climate science community and in the public at large that the climate impacts of fossil fuel CO 2 release will only persist for…”
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5
Increase in Arctic coastal erosion and its sensitivity to warming in the twenty-first century
Published in Nature climate change (01-03-2022)“…Arctic coastal erosion damages infrastructure, threatens coastal communities and releases organic carbon from permafrost. However, the magnitude, timing and…”
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6
Atmospheric methane underestimated in future climate projections
Published in Environmental research letters (01-09-2021)“…Abstract Methane (CH 4 ) is the second most important naturally occurring greenhouse gas (GHG) after carbon dioxide (Myhre G et al 2013 Climate Change 2013:…”
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China and India lead in greening of the world through land-use management
Published in Nature sustainability (01-02-2019)“…Satellite data show increasing leaf area of vegetation due to direct factors (human land-use management) and indirect factors (such as climate change, CO 2…”
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Permafrost Cloud Feedback May Amplify Climate Change
Published in Geophysical research letters (28-06-2024)“…Rising temperatures entail important changes in the soil hydrologic processes of the northern permafrost zone. Using the ICON‐Earth System Model, we show that…”
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Pathway-dependent fate of permafrost region carbon
Published in Environmental research letters (01-09-2018)“…Permafrost soils in the high northern latitudes contain a substantial amount of carbon which is not decomposed due to frozen conditions. Climate change will…”
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Carbon system state determines warming potential of emissions
Published in PloS one (01-08-2024)“…Current strategies to hold surface warming below a certain level, e. g., 1.5 or 2°C, advocate limiting total anthropogenic cumulative carbon emissions to ∼0.9…”
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11
Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (27-10-2015)“…Abrupt transitions of regional climate in response to the gradual rise in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are notoriously difficult to foresee…”
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12
Changes in growing season duration and productivity of northern vegetation inferred from long-term remote sensing data
Published in Environmental research letters (01-08-2016)“…Monitoring and understanding climate-induced changes in the boreal and arctic vegetation is critical to aid in prognosticating their future. We used a 33 year…”
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13
Carbon–Concentration and Carbon–Climate Feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth System Models
Published in Journal of climate (01-08-2013)“…The magnitude and evolution of parameters that characterize feedbacks in the coupled carbon–climate system are compared across nine Earth system models (ESMs)…”
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14
Early-warning signals for critical transitions
Published in Nature (London) (03-09-2009)“…Tip-offs for tipping points Many complex systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have critical thresholds or tipping points…”
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15
Global biogeophysical interactions between forest and climate
Published in Geophysical research letters (16-04-2009)“…In two sensitivity experiments using the Earth System Model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI‐ESM), the vegetation cover of the ice‐free land…”
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Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system
Published in Nature geoscience (01-08-2021)“…The geological record shows that abrupt changes in the Earth system can occur on timescales short enough to challenge the capacity of human societies to adapt…”
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17
Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (23-09-2008)“…In the Earth's history, periods of relatively stable climate have often been interrupted by sharp transitions to a contrasting state. One explanation for such…”
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18
Effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state in the Arctic
Published in Environmental research letters (01-10-2024)“…Abstract Arctic land is characterized by a high surface and subsurface heterogeneity on different scales. However, the effects of land surface model resolution…”
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Twenty-First-Century Compatible CO₂ Emissions and Airborne Fraction Simulated by CMIP5 Earth System Models under Four Representative Concentration Pathways
Published in Journal of climate (01-07-2013)“…The carbon cycle is a crucial Earth system component affecting climate and atmospheric composition. The response of natural carbon uptake to CO₂ and climate…”
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The capacity of northern peatlands for long-term carbon sequestration
Published in Biogeosciences (03-01-2020)“…Northern peatlands have been a persistent natural carbon sink since the Last Glacial Maximum. The continued growth and expansion of these carbon-rich…”
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