Search Results - "Booth, Ben B"
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Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability
Published in Nature (London) (12-04-2012)“…A state-of-the-art climate model shows that radiative forcing due to anthropogenic and volcanic aerosols explains the variability in sea surface temperature of…”
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Reconciling Past and Future Rainfall Trends over East Africa
Published in Journal of climate (15-12-2015)“…The “long rains” season of East Africa has recently experienced a series of devastating droughts, whereas the majority of climate models predict increasing…”
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The Multidecadal Atlantic SST—Sahel Rainfall Teleconnection in CMIP5 Simulations
Published in Journal of climate (01-01-2014)“…This study uses models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) to evaluate and investigate Sahel rainfall multidecadal variability…”
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Sensitivity of tropical carbon to climate change constrained by carbon dioxide variability
Published in Nature (London) (21-02-2013)“…A linear relationship between the sensitivity of tropical land carbon storage to warming and the sensitivity of the annual growth rate of atmospheric CO 2 to…”
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Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles
Published in Climate dynamics (01-05-2011)“…Ensembles of climate model simulations are required for input into probabilistic assessments of the risk of future climate change in which uncertainties are…”
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Interhemispheric Aerosol Radiative Forcing and Tropical Precipitation Shifts during the Late Twentieth Century
Published in Journal of climate (15-10-2015)“…Through the latter half of the twentieth century, meridional shifts in tropical precipitation have been associated with severe droughts. Although linked to a…”
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Role of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the recent global surface warming slowdown
Published in Nature climate change (01-10-2016)“…The global warming slowdown has been attributed to the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Modelling work simulates this negative phase in…”
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Selecting Ensemble Members to Provide Regional Climate Change Information
Published in Journal of climate (15-10-2012)“…Climate model ensembles, such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, phase 3 (CMIP3), are used to characterize broadscale ranges of projected regional…”
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Aerosol and physical atmosphere model parameters are both important sources of uncertainty in aerosol ERF
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (13-07-2018)“…Changes in aerosols cause a change in net top-of-the-atmosphere (ToA) short-wave and long-wave radiative fluxes; rapid adjustments in clouds, water vapour and…”
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Effective radiative forcing from historical land use change
Published in Climate dynamics (01-06-2017)“…The effective radiative forcing (ERF) from the biogeophysical effects of historical land use change is quantified using the atmospheric component of the Met…”
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Sensitivity of Twentieth-Century Sahel Rainfall to Sulfate Aerosol and CO₂ Forcing
Published in Journal of climate (01-10-2011)“…A full understanding of the causes of the severe drought seen in the Sahel in the latter part of the twentieth-century remains elusive some 25 yr after the…”
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Aerosol‐Forced AMOC Changes in CMIP6 Historical Simulations
Published in Geophysical research letters (28-07-2020)“…The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has been, and will continue to be, a key factor in the modulation of climate change both locally and…”
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A perturbed parameter ensemble of HadGEM3-GC3.05 coupled model projections: part 1: selecting the parameter combinations
Published in Climate dynamics (01-06-2021)“…This is the first of two papers that describe the generation of a 25-member perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE) of high-resolution, global coupled simulations…”
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Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change
Published in Climate dynamics (01-08-2006)“…Ensembles of coupled atmosphere-ocean global circulation model simulations are required to make probabilistic predictions of future climate change. "Perturbed…”
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The importance of comprehensive parameter sampling and multiple observations for robust constraint of aerosol radiative forcing
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (11-09-2018)“…Observational constraint of simulated aerosol and cloud properties is an essential part of building trustworthy climate models for calculating aerosol…”
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Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe
Published in Earth system dynamics (21-04-2023)“…We have created a performance-based assessment of CMIP6 models for Europe that can be used to inform the sub-selection of models for this region. Our…”
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Simulated resilience of tropical rainforests to CO2-induced climate change
Published in Nature geoscience (01-04-2013)“…Assessing potential future carbon loss from tropical forests is important for evaluating the efficacy of programmes for reducing emissions from deforestation…”
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The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints
Published in Earth system dynamics (23-08-2021)“…Studies of emergent constraints have frequently proposed that a single metric can constrain future responses of the Earth system to anthropogenic emissions…”
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Probabilistic projections of transient climate change
Published in Climate dynamics (01-06-2013)“…This paper describes a Bayesian methodology for prediction of multivariate probability distribution functions (PDFs) for transient regional climate change. The…”
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Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part II: development and validation of methodology
Published in Climate dynamics (01-07-2019)“…The usefulness of a set of climate change projections largely depends on how well it spans a range of outcomes consistent with known uncertainties. Here, we…”
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