Search Results - "Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward"

The Largest Ever Recorded Heatwave—Characteristics and Attribution of the Antarctic Heatwave of March 2022 by Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Cox, Tyler, Espinosa, Zachary I., Donohoe, Aaron

“…An unprecedented heatwave impacted East Antarctica in March 2022, peaking at 39°C above climatology, the largest temperature anomaly ever recorded globally. We…”
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Arctic Sea‐Ice Variability During the Instrumental Era by Brennan, M. Kathleen, Hakim, Gregory J., Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward

“…Arctic sea‐ice extent (SIE) has declined drastically in recent decades, yet its evolution prior to the satellite era is highly uncertain. Studies using SIE…”
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Predicting September sea ice: Ensemble skill of the SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook 2008-2013 by Stroeve, Julienne, Hamilton, Lawrence C., Bitz, Cecilia M., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward

“…Since 2008, the Study of Environmental Arctic Change Sea Ice Outlook has solicited predictions of September sea‐ice extent from the Arctic research community…”
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A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier by Bushuk, Mitchell, Winton, Michael, Bonan, David B., Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Delworth, Thomas L.

“…The decline of Arctic sea ice extent has created a pressing need for accurate seasonal predictions of regional summer sea ice. Recent work has shown evidence…”
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Monthly Arctic Sea‐Ice Prediction With a Linear Inverse Model by Brennan, M. Kathleen, Hakim, Gregory J., Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward

“…We evaluate Linear Inverse Models (LIMs) trained on last millennium model data to predict Arctic sea‐ice concentration, thickness, and other atmospheric and…”
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A review on Arctic sea‐ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time‐scales by Guemas, Virginie, Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Chevallier, Matthieu, Day, Jonathan J., Déqué, Michel, Doblas‐Reyes, Francisco J., Fučkar, Neven S., Germe, Agathe, Hawkins, Ed, Keeley, Sarah, Koenigk, Torben, Salas y Mélia, David, Tietsche, Steffen

“…Sea ice plays a crucial role in the Earth's energy and water budget and has a substantial impact on local and remote atmospheric and oceanic circulations…”
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The Impact of Winds on AMOC in a Fully‐Coupled Climate Model by Roach, Lettie A., Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Ragen, Sarah, Cheng, Wei, Armour, Kyle C., Bitz, Cecilia M.

“…Here we investigate the role of the atmospheric circulation in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) by comparing a fully‐coupled large…”
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Winds and Meltwater Together Lead to Southern Ocean Surface Cooling and Sea Ice Expansion by Roach, Lettie A., Mankoff, Kenneth D., Romanou, Anastasia, Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Haine, Thomas W. N., Schmidt, Gavin. A.

“…Southern Ocean surface cooling and Antarctic sea ice expansion from 1979 through 2015 have been linked both to changing atmospheric circulation and melting of…”
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Initial-value predictability of Antarctic sea ice in the Community Climate System Model 3 by Holland, Marika M., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Kay, Jennifer, Vavrus, Steven

“…We assess initial‐value predictability characteristics of Antarctic sea ice from climate simulations. The integrations are initialized on 1 January with…”
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Forecast Skill of the Arctic Sea Ice Outlook 2008–2022 by Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Bushuk, Mitchell, Massonnet, François, Hamilton, Lawrence C., Bitz, Cecilia M., Meier, Walter N., Bhatt, Uma S.

“…We assess the skill of forecasts of Arctic September sea ice in the Sea Ice Outlook over 2008–2022. The multi‐model median June initialized forecast of…”
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Record Arctic Cyclone of January 2022: Characteristics, Impacts, and Predictability by Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Webster, Melinda, Boisvert, Linette, Parker, Chelsea, Horvat, Christopher

“…Arctic cyclones are a fundamental component of Arctic climate, influencing atmospheric heat and moisture transport into the region and surface energy,…”
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Model Biases in Simulating Extreme Sea Ice Loss Associated With the Record January 2022 Arctic Cyclone by Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Brenner, Samuel, Webster, Melinda, Horvat, Chris, Foss, Øyvind, Bitz, Cecilia M.

“…In January 2022, the strongest Arctic cyclone on record resulted in a record weekly loss in sea ice cover in the Barents‐Kara‐Laptev seas. While ECMWF…”
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Diagnostic sea ice predictability in the pan‐Arctic and U.S. Arctic regional seas by Cheng, Wei, Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Bitz, Cecilia M., Ladd, Carol, Stabeno, Phyllis J.

“…This study assesses sea ice predictability in the pan‐Arctic and U.S. Arctic regional (Bering, Chukchi, and Beaufort) seas with a purpose of understanding…”
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Impact of Winds and Southern Ocean SSTs on Antarctic Sea Ice Trends and Variability by Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Roach, Lettie A., Donohoe, Aaron, Ding, Qinghua

“…Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE) has slightly increased over the satellite observational period (1979 to the present) despite global warming. Several mechanisms…”
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High‐Frequency Sea Ice Variability in Observations and Models by Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Donohoe, Aaron, Roach, Lettie A., DuVivier, Alice, Bitz, Cecilia M.

“…We characterize high‐frequency variability of sea ice extent (HFVSIE) in observations and climate models. We find that HFVSIE in models is biased low with…”
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Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes by Massonnet, François, Vancoppenolle, Martin, Goosse, Hugues, Docquier, David, Fichefet, Thierry, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward

“…One of the clearest manifestations of ongoing global climate change is the dramatic retreat and thinning of the Arctic sea-ice cover 1 . While all…”
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Characteristics of Arctic Sea-Ice Thickness Variability in GCMs by Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Bitz, Cecilia M.

“…Skillful Arctic sea ice forecasts may be possible for lead times of months or even years owing to the persistence of thickness anomalies. In this study sea ice…”
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Persistence and Inherent Predictability of Arctic Sea Ice in a GCM Ensemble and Observations by Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Armour, Kyle C., Bitz, Cecilia M., DeWeaver, Eric

“…The temporal characteristics of Arctic sea ice extent and area are analyzed in terms of their lagged correlation in observations and a GCM ensemble…”
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Processes Controlling Arctic and Antarctic Sea Ice Predictability in the Community Earth System Model by Ordoñez, Ana C., Bitz, Cecilia M., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward

“…Sea ice predictability is a rapidly growing area of research, with most studies focusing on the Arctic. This study offers new insights by comparing…”
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The Influence of Local Feedbacks and Northward Heat Transport on the Equilibrium Arctic Climate Response to Increased Greenhouse Gas Forcing by Kay, Jennifer E., Holland, Marika M., Bitz, Cecilia M., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Gettelman, Andrew, Conley, Andrew, Bailey, David

“…This study uses coupled climate model experiments to identify the influence of atmospheric physics [Community Atmosphere Model, versions 4 and 5 (CAM4; CAM5)]…”
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