Search Results - "Arino, Julien"

A simple model for COVID-19 by Arino, Julien, Portet, Stéphanie

“…An SL1L2I1I2A1A2R epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times…”
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Effect of Movement on the Early Phase of an Epidemic by Arino, Julien, Milliken, Evan

“…The early phase of an epidemic is characterized by a small number of infected individuals, implying that stochastic effects drive the dynamics of the disease…”
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Spatio-temporal spread of infectious pathogens of humans by Arino, Julien

“…Spatio-temporal aspects in the propagation of infectious pathogens of humans are reviewed. Mathematical modelling of these issues using metapopulation models…”
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The origins and potential future of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in the evolving COVID-19 pandemic by Otto, Sarah P., Day, Troy, Arino, Julien, Colijn, Caroline, Dushoff, Jonathan, Li, Michael, Mechai, Samir, Van Domselaar, Gary, Wu, Jianhong, Earn, David J.D., Ogden, Nicholas H.

“…One year into the global COVID-19 pandemic, the focus of attention has shifted to the emergence and spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs). After…”
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Mathematical epidemiology in a data-rich world by Arino, Julien

“…I discuss the acquisition and use of “background” data in mathematical epidemiology models, advocating a proactive approach to the incorporation of said data…”
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Is SARS-CoV-2 elimination or mitigation best? Regional and disease characteristics determine the recommended strategy by Martignoni, Maria M, Arino, Julien, Hurford, Amy

“…Public health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic varied across the world. Some countries (e.g. mainland China, New Zealand and Taiwan) implemented elimination…”
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Modelling disease mitigation at mass gatherings: A case study of COVID-19 at the 2022 FIFA World Cup by Grunnill, Martin, Arino, Julien, McCarthy, Zachary, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi, Coudeville, Laurent, Thommes, Edward W, Amiche, Amine, Ghasemi, Abbas, Bourouiba, Lydia, Tofighi, Mohammadali, Asgary, Ali, Baky-Haskuee, Mortaza, Wu, Jianhong

“…The 2022 FIFA World Cup was the first major multi-continental sporting Mass Gathering Event (MGE) of the post COVID-19 era to allow foreign spectators. Such…”
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Mathematical modelling of vaccination rollout and NPIs lifting on COVID-19 transmission with VOC: a case study in Toronto, Canada by Aruffo, Elena, Yuan, Pei, Tan, Yi, Gatov, Evgenia, Moyles, Iain, Bélair, Jacques, Watmough, James, Collier, Sarah, Arino, Julien, Zhu, Huaiping

“…Since December 2020, public health agencies have implemented a variety of vaccination strategies to curb the spread of SARS-CoV-2, along with pre-existing…”
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Disease transmission and mass gatherings: a case study on meningococcal infection during Hajj by Coudeville, Laurent, Amiche, Amine, Rahman, Ashrafur, Arino, Julien, Tang, Biao, Jollivet, Ombeline, Dogu, Alp, Thommes, Edward, Wu, Jianhong

“…Mass gatherings can not only trigger major outbreaks on-site but also facilitate global spread of infectious pathogens. Hajj is one of the largest mass…”
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Modelling the transmission of dengue, zika and chikungunya: a scoping review protocol by Romero-Leiton, Jhoana P, Acharya, Kamal Raj, Parmley, Jane Elizabeth, Arino, Julien, Nasri, Bouchra

“…Introduction Aedes mosquitoes are the primary vectors for the spread of viruses like dengue (DENV), zika (ZIKV) and chikungunya (CHIKV), all of which affect…”
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A model for the early COVID-19 outbreak in China with case detection and behavioural change by Arino, Julien, El Hail, Khalid, Khaladi, Mohamed, Ouhinou, Aziz

“…We investigate a model of the early stage of the COVID-19 epidemic comprising undetected infected individuals as well as behavioural change towards the use of…”
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Risk of COVID-19 variant importation – How useful are travel control measures? by Arino, Julien, Boëlle, Pierre-Yves, Milliken, Evan, Portet, Stéphanie

“…We consider models for the importation of a new variant COVID-19 strain in a location already seeing propagation of a resident variant. By distinguishing…”
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Simple models for containment of a pandemic by Arino, Julien, Brauer, Fred, van den Driessche, P, Watmough, James, Wu, Jianhong

“…We formulate compartmental models to describe outbreaks of influenza and attempt to manage a disease outbreak by vaccination or antiviral treatment. The models…”
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Modeling vaccination and control strategies for outbreaks of monkeypox at gatherings by Yuan, Pei, Tan, Yi, Yang, Liu, Aruffo, Elena, Ogden, Nicholas H, Bélair, Jacques, Arino, Julien, Heffernan, Jane, Watmough, James, Carabin, Hélène, Zhu, Huaiping

“…The monkeypox outbreak in non-endemic countries in recent months has led the World Health Organization (WHO) to declare a public health emergency of…”
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Global Results for an Epidemic Model with Vaccination That Exhibits Backward Bifurcation by Julien Arino, McCluskey, C. Connell, van den Driessche, P.

“…Vaccination of both newborns and susceptibles is included in a transmission model for a disease that confers immunity. The interplay of the vaccination…”
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Infectious disease surveillance and modelling across geographic frontiers and scientific specialties by Khan, Kamran, Dr, McNabb, Scott JN, PhD, Memish, Ziad A, Prof, Eckhardt, Rose, MA, Hu, Wei, BSc, Kossowsky, David, BA, Sears, Jennifer, BSc, Arino, Julien, PhD, Johansson, Anders, PhD, Barbeschi, Maurizio, PhD, McCloskey, Brian, MD, Henry, Bonnie, MD, Cetron, Martin, MD, Brownstein, John S, PhD

“…Summary Infectious disease surveillance for mass gatherings (MGs) can be directed locally and globally; however, epidemic intelligence from these two levels is…”
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Entry and exit screening of airline travellers during the A(H1 N1) 2009 pandemic: a retrospective evaluation by KHAN, Kamran, ECKHARDT, Rose, SEARS, Jennifer, CETRON, Martin S, BROWNSTEIN, John S, NAQVI, Raza, WEI HU, KOSSOWSKY, David, SCALES, David, ARINO, Julien, MACDONALD, Michael, JUN WANG

“…To evaluate the screening measures that would have been required to assess all travellers at risk of transporting A(H1N1)pdm09 out of Mexico by air at the…”
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Estimating social contacts in mass gatherings for disease outbreak prevention and management: case of Hajj pilgrimage by Tofighi, Mohammadali, Asgary, Ali, Tofighi, Ghassem, Najafabadi, Mahdi M., Arino, Julien, Amiche, Amine, Rahman, Ashrafur, McCarthy, Zachary, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi, Thommes, Edward, Coudeville, Laurent, Grunnill, Martin David, Bourouiba, Lydia, Wu, Jianhong

“…Abstract Background Most mass gathering events have been suspended due to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, with vaccination rollout, whether and how to…”
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Antiviral resistance during pandemic influenza: implications for stockpiling and drug use by Arino, Julien, Bowman, Christopher S, Moghadas, Seyed M

“…The anticipated extent of antiviral use during an influenza pandemic can have adverse consequences for the development of drug resistance and rationing of…”
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Global Public Health Implications of a Mass Gathering in Mecca, Saudi Arabia During the Midst of an Influenza Pandemic by KHAN, Kamran, MEMISH, Ziad A, RAPOSO, Paulo, HEIDEBRECHT, Christine, JUN WANG, CHAN, Angie, BROWNSTEIN, John, GARDAM, Michael, CHABBRA, Aneesh, LIAUW, Jessica, WEI HU, JANES, David A, SEARS, Jennifer, ARINO, Julien, MACDONALD, Michael, CALDERON, Felipe

“…Every year millions of pilgrims from around the world gather under extremely crowded conditions in Mecca, Saudi Arabia to perform the Hajj. In 2009, the Hajj…”
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