Search Results - "Anumeha Dube"

Improvements in tropical cyclone forecasting through ensemble prediction system at NCMRWF in India by Anumeha Dube, Raghavendra Ashrit, Sushant Kumar, Ashu Mamgain

“…This paper deals with the comparison of cyclone forecasts from the two versions of the operational global ensemble prediction system (EPS) at the National…”
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Forecasting the heavy rainfall during Himalayan flooding—June 2013 by Dube, Anumeha, Ashrit, Raghavendra, Ashish, Amit, Sharma, Kuldeep, Iyengar, G.R., Rajagopal, E.N., Basu, Swati

“…On 17th June 2013 the state of Uttarakhand in India (Latitude 28.72°N to 31.45°N and Longitude 77.57°E–81.03°E) received more than 340mm of rainfall, which is…”
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Review of Recent Progress in Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting and Expression of Uncertainties by Julian T. Heming, Fernando Prates, Morris A. Bender, Rebecca Bowyer, John Cangialosi, Phillippe Caroff, Thomas Coleman, James D. Doyle, Anumeha Dube, Ghislain Faure, Jim Fraser, Brian C. Howell, Yohko Igarashi, Ron McTaggart-Cowan, M. Mohapatra, Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Jim Murtha, Rabi Rivett, M. Sharma, Chris J. Short, Amit A. Singh, Vijay Tallapragada, Helen A. Titley, Yi Xiao

“…The Ninth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-9) took place in Hawaii, USA in December 2018. This review paper was presented at the Workshop…”
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Numerical Simulation of Circulation and Salinity Structure in Chilika Lagoon by Jayaraman, Girija, Rao, Amabarukhana D., Dube, Anumeha, Mohanty, Pratap K.

“…Chilika Lagoon (19°28′–19°54′N, 85°06′–85°36′E), on the Orissa coast, India, is one of the world's unique ecospheres. It is the largest brackish water lagoon…”
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Heat Waves in India during MAM 2019: Verification of ensemble based probabilistic forecasts and impact of bias correction by Dube, Anumeha, Singh, Harvir, Ashrit, Raghavendra

“…This paper deals with the analysis of the ability of the operational global ensemble prediction system (EPS) at the National Centre for Medium Range Weather…”
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Spatial verification of ensemble rainfall forecasts over India by Dube, Anumeha, Karunasagar, S., Ashrit, Raghavendra, Mitra, Ashis K.

“…Increased resolution of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models can lead to improved prediction of heavy rains; however, the forecasts often suffer from…”
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Grand ensemble forecasts verification based on two high resolution (∼12 km) global ensemble prediction systems by Mamgain, Ashu, Sarkar, Abhijit, Dube, Anumeha, Abhijith, V., George, John P., Prasad, V.S.

“…The primary objective of this study is to quantitatively assess the skill of grand-ensemble forecasts generated from two high-resolution global ensemble…”
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Bias correction of maximum temperature forecasts over India during March–May 2017 by Singh, Harvir, Dube, Anumeha, Kumar, Sushant, Ashrit, Raghavendra

“…In recent times, instances of intense heat waves have increased over the Indian subcontinent. This increase in temperature has an adverse effect on human…”
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A Machine Learning (ML)-Based Approach to Improve Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction of NCMRWF Ensemble Prediction System by Kumar, Sushant, Dube, Anumeha, Ashrit, Raghavendra, Mitra, Ashis K.

“…Global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, including ensemble prediction systems (EPS), are routinely used by the forecasters to predict tropical…”
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Evaluating Short-Range Forecasts of a 12 km Global Ensemble Prediction System and a 4 km Convection-Permitting Regional Ensemble Prediction System by Mamgain, Ashu, Prasad, S. Kiran, Sarkar, Abhijit, Shanker, Gauri, Dube, Anumeha, Mitra, Ashis K.

“…Information regarding the uncertainty associated with weather forecasts, particularly when they are related to a localized area at convective scales, can…”
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Improving the skill of medium range ensemble rainfall forecasts over India using MoES grand ensemble (MGE)-part-I by Dube, Anumeha, Abhijith, V., Mamgain, Ashu, Tirkey, Snehlata, Ashrit, Raghavendra, Prasad, V. S.

“…One of the key attributes of an ensemble prediction system (EPS) is the spread among the members. It plays a crucial role in conveying the uncertainty…”
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Assessment of extreme rainfall events over Kerala using EVA and NCUM-G model forecasts by Abhijith, V, Ashrit, Raghavendra, Dube, Anumeha, Verma, Sunita

“…Assessment of extreme rainfall events (ERE) is crucial for disaster management. Numerical weather prediction (NWP) model-based predictions often fail to…”
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Mathematical modelling of the seasonal variability of plankton in a shallow lagoon by Dube, Anumeha, Jayaraman, Girija

“…The quality of coastal waters can be markedly influenced by the growth and distribution of phytoplankton. In this study, a non-linear mathematical model is…”
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How much does a high-resolution global ensemble forecast improve upon deterministic prediction skill for the Indian summer monsoon? by Chakraborty, Paromita, Dube, Anumeha, Sarkar, Abhijit, Mitra, A. K., Bhatla, R., Singh, R. S.

“…The global Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) at NCMRWF (NEPS-G) comprises of 22 perturbed members in addition to the control (CNTL) member at 12 km horizontal…”
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Probabilistic forecasting of Super Cyclone ‘Amphan’ using NCMRWF global and regional ensemble prediction systems by Sarkar, Abhijit, Prasad, S Kiran, Mamgain, Ashu, Dube, Anumeha, Chakraborty, Paromita, Kumar, Sushant, Karunasagar, Sagili, Thota, Mohana S, Shanker, Gauri, Ashrit, Raghavendra, Mitra, A K

“…Probabilistic forecasting of tropical cyclone (TC) from ensemble prediction systems provides flow-dependent uncertainty associated with the model forecast and…”
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Evaluation of five high-resolution global model rainfall forecasts over India during monsoon 2020 by Ashrit, Raghavendra, Thota, Mohan S, Dube, Anumeha, Kumar, Kondapalli Niranjan, Karunasagar, S, Kumar, Sushant, Singh, Harvir, Meka, Rajasekhar, Krishna, R Phani Murali, Mitra, Ashis K

“…This study aims to evaluate the performance of five global medium-range operational NWP model rainfall forecasts, namely NCUM, UKMO, IMD GFS, NCEP GFS and…”
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Prediction of the August 2018 heavy rainfall events over Kerala with high‐resolution NWP models by Ashrit, Raghavendra, Sharma, Kuldeep, Kumar, Sushant, Dube, Anumeha, Karunasagar, S., Arulalan, T., Mamgain, Ashu, Chakraborty, Paromita, Kumar, Sumit, Lodh, Abhishek, Dutta, Devajyoti, Momin, Imranali, Bushair, M. T., Prakash, Buddhi J., Jayakumar, A., Rajagopal, E. N.

“…The southern Indian state of Kerala experienced exceptionally high rainfall during August 2018, which led to devastating floods in many parts of the state…”
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Improved skill of NCMRWF Unified Model (NCUM-G) in forecasting tropical cyclones over NIO during 2015–2019 by Kumar, Sushant, Dube, Anumeha, Kumar, Sumit, Rani, S Indira, Sharma, Kuldeep, Karunasagar, S, Mohandas, Saji, Ashrit, Raghavendra, George, John P, Mitra, Ashis K

“…Operational forecasting of tropical cyclone (TC) track and intensity in the India Meteorological Department (IMD) relies more and more on the numerical weather…”
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Observed changes in water mass properties in the Indian Sundarbans (northwestern Bay of Bengal) during 1980–2007 by Mitra, Abhijit, Gangopadhyay, Avijit, Dube, Anumeha, Schmidt, André C. K., Banerjee, Kakoli

“…We present evidence that the Indian Sundarbans is experiencing the effects of climate change over the last three decades. Observations of selected variables,…”
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Verification of Medium Range Probabilistic Rainfall Forecasts Over India by Dube, Anumeha, Ashrit, Raghavendra, Singh, Harvir, Iyengar, Gopal, Rajagopal, E. N.

“…Forecasting rainfall in the tropics is a challenging task further hampered by the uncertainty in the numerical weather prediction models. Ensemble prediction…”
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