Search Results - "Andrew P. Morse"
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Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (04-03-2014)“…Malaria is an important disease that has a global distribution and significant health burden. The spatial limits of its distribution and seasonal activity are…”
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Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (03-01-2017)“…Zika, a mosquito-borne viral disease that emerged in South America in 2015, was declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO in…”
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Dengue burden in India: recent trends and importance of climatic parameters
Published in Emerging microbes & infections (09-08-2017)“…For the past ten years, the number of dengue cases has gradually increased in India. Dengue is driven by complex interactions among host, vector and virus that…”
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Systematic Assessment of the Climate Sensitivity of Important Human and Domestic Animals Pathogens in Europe
Published in Scientific reports (02-08-2017)“…Climate change is expected to threaten human health and well-being via its effects on climate-sensitive infectious diseases, potentially changing their spatial…”
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Lag effect of climatic variables on dengue burden in India
Published in Epidemiology and infection (01-01-2019)“…Dengue is a widespread vector-borne disease believed to affect between 100 and 390 million people every year. The interaction between vector, host and pathogen…”
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The effect of explicit convection on simulated malaria transmission across Africa
Published in PloS one (16-04-2024)“…Malaria transmission across sub-Saharan Africa is sensitive to rainfall and temperature. Whilst different malaria modelling techniques and climate simulations…”
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Assessing the suitability for Aedes albopictus and dengue transmission risk in China with a delay differential equation model
Published in PLoS neglected tropical diseases (01-03-2021)“…Dengue is considered non-endemic to mainland China. However, travellers frequently import the virus from overseas and local mosquito species can then spread…”
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Investigating the upsurge of malaria prevalence in Zambia between 2010 and 2015: a decomposition of determinants
Published in Malaria journal (07-03-2019)“…Malaria is among the top causes of mortality and morbidity in Zambia. Efforts to control, prevent, and eliminate it have been intensified in the past two…”
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Impact of ENSO 2016-17 on regional climate and malaria vector dynamics in Tanzania
Published in Environmental research letters (01-07-2019)“…Large scale modes of climate variability, including the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), have been shown to significantly…”
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Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. I. Refining the parameter settings and mathematical formulation of basic processes based on a literature review
Published in Malaria journal (11-02-2011)“…A warm and humid climate triggers several water-associated diseases such as malaria. Climate- or weather-driven malaria models, therefore, allow for a better…”
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Evaluation of machine learning algorithms for classification of primary biological aerosol using a new UV-LIF spectrometer
Published in Atmospheric measurement techniques (03-03-2017)“…Characterisation of bioaerosols has important implications within environment and public health sectors. Recent developments in ultraviolet light-induced…”
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Demonstration of successful malaria forecasts for Botswana using an operational seasonal climate model
Published in Environmental research letters (01-04-2015)“…The severity and timing of seasonal malaria epidemics is strongly linked with temperature and rainfall. Advance warning of meteorological conditions from…”
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A weather-driven model of malaria transmission
Published in Malaria journal (06-09-2004)“…Climate is a major driving force behind malaria transmission and climate data are often used to account for the spatial, seasonal and interannual variation in…”
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A quantitative prioritisation of human and domestic animal pathogens in Europe
Published in PloS one (19-08-2014)“…Disease or pathogen risk prioritisations aid understanding of infectious agent impact within surveillance or mitigation and biosecurity work, but take…”
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Projecting malaria hazard from climate change in eastern Africa using large ensembles to estimate uncertainty
Published in Geospatial health (31-03-2016)“…The effect of climate change on the spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria transmission is studied using an unprecedented ensemble of climate projections,…”
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A dynamic, climate-driven model of Rift Valley fever
Published in Geospatial health (31-03-2016)“…Outbreaks of Rift Valley fever (RVF) in eastern Africa have previously occurred following specific rainfall dynamics and flooding events that appear to support…”
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Environmental change and Rift Valley fever in eastern Africa: projecting beyond HEALTHY FUTURES
Published in Geospatial health (31-03-2016)“…Outbreaks of Rift Valley fever (RVF), a relatively recently emerged zoonosis endemic to large parts of sub-Saharan Africa that has the potential to spread…”
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Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. II. Calibration and validation for West Africa
Published in Malaria journal (16-03-2011)“…In the first part of this study, an extensive literature survey led to the construction of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model (LMM). A new set of…”
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Environmental risk and meningitis epidemics in Africa
Published in Emerging infectious diseases (01-10-2003)“…Epidemics of meningococcal meningitis occur in areas with particular environmental characteristics. We present evidence that the relationship between the…”
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Towards seasonal forecasting of malaria in India
Published in Malaria journal (10-08-2014)“…Malaria presents public health challenge despite extensive intervention campaigns. A 30-year hindcast of the climatic suitability for malaria transmission in…”
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