Search Results - "Abbott, Sam"
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Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (09-04-2021)“…A severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant, VOC 202012/01 (lineage B.1.1.7), emerged in southeast England in September 2020 and is…”
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Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020
Published in Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles (26-03-2020)“…Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond…”
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Generative Bayesian modeling to nowcast the effective reproduction number from line list data with missing symptom onset dates
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-04-2024)“…The time-varying effective reproduction number Rt is a widely used indicator of transmission dynamics during infectious disease outbreaks. Timely estimates of…”
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Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts
Published in The Lancet global health (01-04-2020)“…Isolation of cases and contact tracing is used to control outbreaks of infectious diseases, and has been used for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Whether…”
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Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China
Published in Wellcome open research (10-07-2020)“…Background: A novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has now spread to a number of countries worldwide. While sustained transmission chains of…”
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Evaluating the use of social contact data to produce age-specific short-term forecasts of SARS-CoV-2 incidence in England
Published in PLoS computational biology (12-09-2023)“…Mathematical and statistical models can be used to make predictions of how epidemics may progress in the near future and form a central part of outbreak…”
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Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China
Published in Wellcome open research (2020)“…Background: A novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has now spread to a number of countries worldwide. While sustained transmission chains of…”
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The transmissibility of novel Coronavirus in the early stages of the 2019-20 outbreak in Wuhan: Exploring initial point-source exposure sizes and durations using scenario analysis
Published in Wellcome open research (2020)“…: The current novel coronavirus outbreak appears to have originated from a point-source exposure event at Huanan seafood wholesale market in Wuhan, China…”
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Nowcasting the 2022 mpox outbreak in England
Published in PLoS computational biology (18-09-2023)“…In May 2022, a cluster of mpox cases were detected in the UK that could not be traced to recent travel history from an endemic region. Over the coming months,…”
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Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic
Published in eLife (13-08-2020)“…As of 1 May 2020, there had been 6808 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Of these, 98 had died from the disease. The epidemic had been in decline since…”
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Reassessing the evidence for universal school-age BCG vaccination in England and Wales: re-evaluating and updating a modelling study
Published in BMJ open (11-01-2022)“…ObjectivesIn 2005, England and Wales switched from universal BCG vaccination against tuberculosis (TB) disease for school-age children to targeted vaccination…”
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Inference of the SARS-CoV-2 generation time using UK household data
Published in eLife (09-02-2022)“…The distribution of the generation time (the interval between individuals becoming infected and transmitting the virus) characterises changes in the…”
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Adoption and impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19
Published in Wellcome open research (2020)“…: Several non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been implemented across the world to control the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Social…”
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Scoring epidemiological forecasts on transformed scales
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-08-2023)“…Forecast evaluation is essential for the development of predictive epidemic models and can inform their use for public health decision-making. Common scores to…”
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Comparing human and model-based forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-09-2022)“…Forecasts based on epidemiological modelling have played an important role in shaping public policy throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. This modelling combines…”
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Best practices for estimating and reporting epidemiological delay distributions of infectious diseases
Published in PLoS computational biology (28-10-2024)“…Epidemiological delays are key quantities that inform public health policy and clinical practice. They are used as inputs for mathematical and statistical…”
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Why are different estimates of the effective reproductive number so different? A case study on COVID-19 in Germany
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-11-2023)“…The effective reproductive number Rt has taken a central role in the scientific, political, and public discussion during the COVID-19 pandemic, with numerous…”
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Collaborative nowcasting of COVID-19 hospitalization incidences in Germany
Published in PLoS computational biology (11-08-2023)“…Real-time surveillance is a crucial element in the response to infectious disease outbreaks. However, the interpretation of incidence data is often hampered by…”
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The local burden of disease during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in England: estimation using different data sources from changing surveillance practices
Published in BMC public health (11-04-2022)“…The COVID-19 epidemic has differentially impacted communities across England, with regional variation in rates of confirmed cases, hospitalisations and deaths…”
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Correction: Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-12-2021)“…[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008409.]…”
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